Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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FXUS65 KPIH 041012
AFDPIH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
312 AM MST WED MAR 4 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRI NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. SOME RESIDUAL SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EXTREME
SOUTHEAST CORNER THIS MORNING WILL BE THE LAST REAL PRECIPITATION
THREAT FOR THE PERIOD...THEN NEARLY CLEAR SKIES WITH ZERO CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION. WIND TO REMAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE UNDER THE HIGH
PRESSURE INFLUENCE. THIS ONLY LEAVES TEMPERATURES AS THE MAIN
FORECAST PROBLEM...HOW QUICKLY WILL IT WARM UP. STRENGTHENING
MARCH SUNSHINE SHOULD ALLOW FOR A RAPID CHANGE IN AFTERNOON
HIGHS...THUS HAVE GONE CLOSER TO THE GFS GUIDANCE FOR
TEMPERATURES...USING BIAS CORRECTED CONSENSUS GRIDS AS A FIRST
DRAFT. EXPECT BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY...NEAR NORMAL
AFTERNOON HIGHS FOR THU...THEN WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY FRI.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING TO THE WEST OF IDAHO WILL DOMINATE WEATHER INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL.   THE RIDGE
PROGRESSES EAST BY MID WEEK AND IT APPEARS NEXT CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL BE NEXT WEDNESDAY.  TEMPERATURES IN THE RANGE OF
10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WILL BE LIKELY IN THE LONG TERM
PERIOD.
GK

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH MAINLY CLEAR
SKIES.  WINDS SHOULD STAY AT 10 KNOTS OR LESS FOR THE MOST PART AT
ALL FOUR TAF SITES TODAY.
GK

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$






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