Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 300430

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1130 PM CDT Mon May 29 2017

...06z Aviation Forecast Update...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Mon May 29 2017

An upper level low is currently located across the Great Lakes
region with a front stretching across the region from central
Kansas across central Missouri this afternoon. Highs have warmed
into the lower 80s this afternoon. A few showers and maybe a
rumble of thunder or two may be possible late this
afternoon/early this evening across southern Missouri, but most
locations should remain dry.

Later tonight into Wednesday isolated to scattered storm
development will be possible at times across the area as upper
level energy spreads across the area but will not be widespread in
nature or last all that long for any given location. Just enough
instability may be able to develop to result in a few strong to
marginally severe storms to be possible with hail up to the size
of quarters the main risk.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Mon May 29 2017

Upper level ridging will remain west of the area through Friday
leaving the area in a northwest upper level flow pattern. There
could be some isolated to scattered storms possible at times when
upper level energy is able to ride through the northwest flow but
again will not be widespread in nature and last all that long for
any given location.

Friday night into Sunday night, an upper level trough will dive
south towards and into the region sending a front through the
area. This will result in better widespread shower/storm chances
across the region as better lift will occur.

Behind the system surface high pressure and dry conditions will
build over the area Sunday into early next week as highs warm
into the 70s each afternoon during this time.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1128 PM CDT Mon May 29 2017

VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours across the
area. There are no aviation concerns for pilots. Winds will be
southwesterly about 5 knots.




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