Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 202057
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
257 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Upper-trough sparking convection with embedded thunderstorms
across northeast Louisiana and southern Arkansas this afternoon in
an area that is slightly more unstable than east Texas and
Southeast Oklahoma where earlier rainfall has modified the
airmass. Temperatures currently in the 60s across areas that
have received earlier rainfall while southern Arkansas and north
Louisiana are in the mid 70s. Upper-trough to swing east across
the ArkLaTex overnight and deepen into a closed low. Rainfall to
continue to shift east throughout the night but decrease in
intensity with the loss of daytime heating. Overnight low
temperatures forecast to fall into the mid 50s. Wrap-around
moisture to maintain a chance of showers across the region through
Tuesday. Rainfall to gradually diminish from the west throughout
the day. Cloud cover to persist through Tuesday night before
gradually eroding on Wednesday. High temperatures through the
middle of the week to climb from the upper 60s on Tuesday to
around 80 by Thursday afternoon. A dry cold front will move across
the region on Thursday night into Friday bringing a reinforcement
of cooler air with high temperatures falling into the 60s and
lows in the 40s and 50s late in the week into the weekend. /05/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1201 PM CST Mon Feb 20 2017/

AVIATION...
Large area of convection slowly movg east into sw AR and north LA.
Cigs vfr with ocnl mvfr. Any isold tstms over mainly se cwa,
likely not near any terminals. Low cigs and patchy fog possible
thru at least 21/15z, with rainfall clearing from the west btwn
21/00-06z. Winds to remain lgt, with mainly westerly winds around
5 kts late in the fcst period./VII/.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  56  70  55  78 /  70  30  10   0
MLU  58  68  56  74 /  90  50  20  10
DEQ  53  71  47  76 /  50  30  10   0
TXK  55  69  51  76 /  70  40  10   0
ELD  56  68  54  75 /  90  50  20  10
TYR  54  74  51  79 /  40  10  10   0
GGG  54  72  52  78 /  40  20  10   0
LFK  55  74  54  79 /  40  20  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

05


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