Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 250427
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1127 PM CDT Wed May 24 2017

.AVIATION...
High pressure to shift east overnight with light and variable
winds becoming southeast at 5 to 10 knots by 25/12Z. Winds to
continue to increase throughout the day, becoming around 15 knots
and gusty by 25/18Z. Winds to diminish to 5 to 10 knots after
26/00Z. Otherwise, VFR conditions to prevail through the terminal
forecast period. /05/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1014 PM CDT Wed May 24 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Our going forecast is pretty much right on track with hourly obs
temperature wise, although current dew points are a little warmer
than forecast. New 00Z Nam is much colder and seemingly out of
touch, so will elect to let em ride. The soil has dried out a good
bit today with both sun and wind, but there is still some
moistening taking place from below via wicking off soil and
evapotransportation from nice green plants, that may be falling
off quickly in the cool air. Our low temperature records would
appear to remain in tack as winds are already calm and we have
moistened up a bit since mixing down into the upper 40s has ceased
early this evening and rebounded in the lower 50s everywhere
except Idabel with 46 and a forecast of 47 by daybreak. Our skies
are clear and dew points are low and may fall back through a bit,
but the lack of core air mass is a huge element for new records.
We are this dry in late May only due to the depth of the longwave
pattern. The higher pressures that started the day in West Texas
are now down the coastal bend of towards Brownsville. /24/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  53  86  69  90 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  53  83  65  90 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  47  84  67  88 /   0   0   0  10
TXK  52  84  68  88 /   0   0   0  10
ELD  49  82  67  89 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  56  87  72  90 /   0   0   0  10
GGG  53  87  70  90 /   0   0   0  10
LFK  56  89  71  91 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

05/05/24



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