Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 061302
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
902 AM EDT MON JUL 6 2015

.UPDATE...
MORNING WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING A WEAK UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES AND A TUTT LOW
NORTHEAST OF THE BAHAMAS. AT THE SURFACE...A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE STRUNG ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WILL KEEP GRADIENT
WINDS LIGHT TODAY...CLEARING THE WAY FOR A STRONG SEA BREEZE
CIRCULATION ONCE DAY TIME HEATING GETS GOING. ALTHOUGH THE KTBW
12Z SOUNDING SHOWS THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE HAS DROPPED TO
1.45 INCHES...MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO FILL BACK IN THIS
AFTERNOON...AND ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS IS ANTICIPATED.

OVERALL...THE CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK...AND NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES WERE MADE FOR THE MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING WILL BE THREATENED BY EARLY TO MID
AFTERNOON AS SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP IN THE
VICINITY OF AREA TERMINALS. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL DIMINISH
FOR THE COASTAL TAF SITES BY AROUND 21Z...AND FOR INLAND SITES
LIKE KLAL BY AROUND 00Z.

&&

.MARINE...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
WILL KEEP LIGHT...GENERALLY SOUTHEAST WINDS IN PLACE THROUGH THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW HEADLINE
CRITERIA OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  92  78  92  77 /  40  10  60  30
FMY  93  75  93  74 /  60  20  60  30
GIF  93  75  93  74 /  60  30  50  10
SRQ  91  75  91  76 /  30  10  50  30
BKV  93  72  93  73 /  30  10  50  20
SPG  92  79  91  78 /  40  10  50  30

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...18/FLEMING
MARINE...18/FLEMING
DECISION SUPPORT...24/HUBBARD



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