Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT

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FXUS65 KTFX 070410
AFDTFX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
910 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT...STRONG WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED AS THE AND HIGH PRESSURE IS
BUILDING OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL KEEP THE AIRMASS DRY AND BEGIN A
TREND OF RISING TEMPS. UPDATED TO FRESHEN FIRST PERIOD WINDS, POPS,
WX, AND QPF.  ZELZER

&&

.AVIATION...UPDATED 2327Z.

AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT HAVE MOVED TO THE
EAST. WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MONTANA WILL REMAIN BRISK
BUT WEAKEN DURING THE NIGHT. BRISK WINDS WILL CONTINUE, HOWEVER,
THROUGH SUNDAY WITH GUSTY CONDITIONS AGAIN ESPECIALLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ALOFT TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE
AIRMASS WILL DRY AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 429 PM MST SAT FEB 6 2016/

TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...BRISK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA
TONIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE DEPARTING SHORT WAVE THAT MOVED THROUGH
EARLIER. WINDS WILL CONTINUE VERY GUSTY INTO THE EVENING BEFORE
DECREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE GRADIENT RELAXES. LINGERING
INSTABILITY SHOWERS WILL ALSO GRADUALLY END BY MIDNIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE WEST COAST SUNDAY AND THEN EXPANDS INLAND
MONDAY, THUS BEGINNING A PERIOD OF DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WITH
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM ABOVE SEASONAL
AVERAGES TO START THE WEEK. MONDAY`S HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE 15
TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE IN SOME AREAS.

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. EXPECT
DRY CONDITIONS...MILD TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT/BREEZY WINDS TO PREVAIL
OVER THE REGION THROUGH THIS PERIOD. ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY...THE GFS/EC ARE SIMILAR BUT THE EC IS A BIT WETTER THAN
THE GFS. WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH MAINLY THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS THE REGION. THUS THEY HAVE A SMALL CHANCE FOR
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT AND ACROSS THE
NORTHERN TIER OF THE REGION. OVERALL THE CHANCES FOR PRECIP ARE ON
THE LOW SIDE LATE NEXT WEEK...AND TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY/SATURDAY
WILL COOL A BIT FROM EARLIER IN THE WEEK...BUT TEMPERATURES SHOULD
STILL BE ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. BRUSDA

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GTF  27  43  30  56 /  10   0   0   0
CTB  26  41  28  52 /   0   0   0   0
HLN  24  40  26  46 /  10   0   0   0
BZN  16  35  18  39 /  10   0   0   0
WEY  12  29  12  33 /  20   0   0   0
DLN  19  36  23  42 /  10   0   0   0
HVR  26  42  22  49 /   0   0   0   0
LWT  22  35  23  47 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TFX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/GREATFALLS


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