Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 302336
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
636 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Ongoing convection will diminish this evening w/ patchy fog again
likely across far NW AR. A weak boundary will focus storm chances
across northern locations tomorrow afternoon with rather storm high
coverage expected.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 320 PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016/

DISCUSSION...
As in previous days...there is a weakly sheared unstable airmass
in place...with scattered thunderstorms developing again across
the area. The main concern with these storms is strong wind gusts
and of course lightning. Any individual storm will be short lived
and overall coverage will diminish this evening. Winds will remain
light over the area...with lows overnight falling into the
mid/upper 60s in some locations.

A weak cold front will approach the area tomorrow...bringing
increasing clouds and a better chance for showers/thunderstorms.
Temperatures will have a chance to rise into the 90s across
western AR and SE OK...while the northern portions of our area
will have clouds and precipitation earlier in the day. Models
hint that storms may persist into Wed night/overnight Thu across
SE OK and wrn AR so left higher chances for rain there. By
Thursday...airmass will be a bit cooler and drier. Mid level ridge
begins to build back by Friday into Saturday...with hot and humid
conditions expected by Sunday and Monday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   72  88  69  87 /  50  50  30  30
FSM   72  92  72  88 /  20  40  20  30
MLC   72  92  71  87 /  20  30  30  40
BVO   67  85  65  85 /  50  50  20  20
FYV   67  85  66  83 /  20  50  20  20
BYV   69  87  68  82 /  20  50  20  10
MKO   70  88  68  88 /  20  50  20  30
MIO   71  85  68  84 /  30  50  20  10
F10   72  90  71  86 /  20  50  30  40
HHW   73  94  74  88 /  20  20  30  50

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...07



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