Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 180443
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1143 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX CONTINUES TO DROP SOUTH ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE THIS EVENING...AND WILL IMPACT
THE KMLC TAF SITE THROUGH 07Z. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP TOWARDS MORNING ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...ALTHOUGH
CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW. HAVE MAINTAINED MENTION OF VCTS
FOR ALL SITES EXPECT KMLC AFTER 10-12Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 842 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2014/

DISCUSSION...
BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM NEAR CLAREMORE OKLAHOMA
TO NEAR FORT SMITH ARKANSAS THIS EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO
SAG TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS IT SLOWLY
DISSIPATES. HAVE ADJUSTED THE POPS ACCORDINGLY. THE THREAT FOR STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS WILL ALSO LINGER FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO AS THE
STORMS MOVE INTO A MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS. HAIL AND HEAVY RAINS WILL COTINUE
TO BE THE BIGGEST CONCERN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   69  88  68  88 /  10  40  10  10
FSM   67  87  67  85 /  20  50  10  10
MLC   69  88  68  87 /  50  40  10  10
BVO   67  86  66  88 /  10  40  10  10
FYV   64  81  63  82 /  20  50  10  10
BYV   63  79  62  81 /  20  40  10  10
MKO   68  87  66  86 /  10  50  10  10
MIO   67  82  66  85 /  20  50  10  10
F10   69  88  68  87 /  60  40  10  10
HHW   70  88  68  87 /  40  30  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...18




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