Flood Statement
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
WGUS82 KTBW 020130
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA...THE LITTLE
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...THE MYAKKA RIVER AT THE MYAKKA RIVER STATE
PARK...THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA...AND THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA. THE
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD HAS EXPIRED AS THE RIVER
HAS DROPPED BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

.SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. IF
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN OCCURS OVER THE RIVER BASINS THIS MAY PROLONG THE
FLOODING. .

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

FLC115-021430-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.140926T2121Z.141002T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MYAKKA RIVER AT MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 09 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 9.3 FEET BY .
* IMPACT...AT 10.6 FEET...THE WALKWAY TO THE RIVER GAGE FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 8.1 FEET ON JUN 30
  2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

MYAKKA
 MYAKKA RIVE   7  9.6  WED 09 PM   9.5    9.3    9.1    8.7    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC057-021430-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-141005T1200Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.140927T2255Z.140929T0145Z.141005T0600Z.NO/
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE ALAFIA RIVER AT LITHIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING
* AT 09 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.4 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES DOWNSTREAM OF STATE ROAD 640
  BRIDGE BEGIN FLOODING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.4 FEET ON AUG
29 2012.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

ALAFIA
 LITHIA       13 15.4  WED 09 PM  14.8   14.0   13.4   12.9   12.4


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-021430-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-141004T0600Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.140928T0058Z.140929T0745Z.141004T0000Z.NO/
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
* AT 09 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.3 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11 12.9  WED 09 PM  12.6   11.7   10.2    9.4    8.9


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC027-021430-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-141006T1200Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.140930T0345Z.141002T1200Z.141006T0600Z.NO/
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE PEACE RIVER AT ARCADIA
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING
* AT 08 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 11.7 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE
  RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 12 FEET...THE GIRL SCOUT CAMP FLOODS.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON JUL
30 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

PEACE
 ARCADIA      11 11.5  WED 08 PM  11.7   11.7   11.6   11.3   10.9


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186



$$

FLC027-021430-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-141006T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.140928T1807Z.141002T1200Z.141005T1800Z.NO/
930 PM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE HORSE CREEK NEAR ARCADIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING
* AT 08 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.2 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE
  RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14 FEET...BUILDINGS IN HIDDEN ACRES FLOOD.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.7 FEET ON SEP
26 2013.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

HORSE CREEK
 ARCADIA      12 13.6  WED 08 PM  14.2   13.2   12.6   12.1   11.7


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$



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