Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS22 KWNS 020912
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0412 AM CDT SAT AUG 02 2014

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN LOCATED OVER THE CNTRL ROCKIES. A SERIES
OF WEAK MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCES OVER THE PACIFIC NW STATES AND A MID-
TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING NWD FROM THE MOJAVE DESERT INTO THE WRN
GREAT BASIN WILL BOTH PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS A LARGE PART OF THE GREAT BASIN INTO INTERIOR
PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC NW AND NRN ROCKIES.  ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR MOST PROBABLE ACROSS SERN ORE AND WILL LEND
CONCERN FOR LIGHTNING-BASED FIRE IGNITIONS.

...SERN ORE...
DIURNALLY DRIVEN THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP DURING PEAK
HEATING WITHIN A PLUME OF ADEQUATE MOISTURE CHARACTERIZED BY PW
RANGING FROM 0.6-0.8 INCH.  LARGE SURFACE TEMP-DEWPOINT SPREADS /50+
DEG F/ WILL PARTIALLY REPRESENT THE DEVELOPMENT OF VERY STEEP
BOUNDARY-LAYER LAPSE RATES AND DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYERS.  DETERMINISTIC
GUIDANCE SEEMS TO FOCUS THE GREATEST THREAT FOR ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THIS REGION.  ALTHOUGH SURROUNDING
REGIONAL AREAS MAY ULTIMATELY RECEIVE SOME DRY THUNDERSTORMS...A
MIXTURE OF WET AND DRY MODES OR LOWER THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
PRECLUDES THESE AREAS FROM BEING HIGHLIGHTED AT THIS TIME.

..SMITH.. 08/02/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...



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