Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS22 KWNS 281758
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1157 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2014

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR E-CENTRAL NM...

THE PREVIOUS FORECAST IS ON TRACK...WITH NO CHANGES REQUIRED.

..ROGERS.. 11/28/2014

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0253 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2014/

...SYNOPSIS...
THE BREAKDOWN OF THE WESTERN UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE ON SATURDAY
WITH MID AND UPPER-LEVEL FLOW BECOMING MORE WESTERLY FROM THE GREAT
BASIN TO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS. ADDITIONALLY...CONDITIONS LOOK
FAVORABLE FOR A POSSIBLE MOUNTAIN-WAVE/DOWNSLOPE-WIND EVENT TO
DEVELOP ALONG PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES.
DEEP-LAYER WESTERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING
EMBEDDED LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. AT THE SAME TIME...THE
SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS WILL ALSO STRENGTHEN. THE RESULTING
INCREASE IN DOWNSLOPE W/SW WINDS WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER DAY OF
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND LOW RH
VALUES. ELEVATED TO CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR PARTS
OF NORTHEAST/CENTRAL NM INTO PORTIONS OF THE OK/TX PANHANDLES.

...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST NM INTO THE OK/TX PANHANDLES...

DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL BE PARTICULARLY STRONG ALONG THE I-40 CORRIDOR
FROM NEAR KCQC TO THE TX BORDER WHERE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HERE...W/SW WINDS NEAR 20 MPH GUSTING TO 35
MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. SURROUNDING THIS AREA...WIND SPEEDS WILL BE
SOMEWHAT MORE MARGINAL IN THE 15-25 PERCENT RANGE...LEADING TO A
LARGER AREA OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST NM AND THE OK/TX PANHANDLES. ANOTHER DAY OF
MUCH-ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES /NEAR 80 F/ COMBINED WITH A DRY
AIRMASS AND DOWNSLOPE DRYING WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD RH VALUES FROM
10-15 PERCENT WITH AREAS AS LOW AT 6 PERCENT.

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...




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