Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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088
FNUS76 KLOX 042212
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLAME FRONT SIMULATOR NOV 28 - DEC 8...FOREST SERVICE - NTDP, SAN DIMAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
212 PM PST SUN DEC 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON DECEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE INTERIOR WESTERN U.S.
ON MONDAY. AS A RESULT TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER
AND HUMIDITIES SHOULD BE UP SLIGHTLY COMPARED TO SUNDAY.
NORTHERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALOFT SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING. SOME OF THESE NORTH WINDS COULD REACH THE SURFACE
MONDAY MORNING...WITH 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS OF 10-15 MPH AND GUSTS
TO 20 MPH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON AS THE DIURNAL WIND PATTERN TAKES OVER...BUT THERE IS A
CHANCE THAT WINDS COULD REMAIN NORTHERLY.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........LOW 50S IN THE IN THE MORNING WITH A HIGH AROUND
                    75 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HUMIDITY............AROUND 45 PERCENT IN THE MORNING WITH A MINIMUM
                    AROUND 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 2-4 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    4-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTH WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    3000-4000 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 4-8 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    8-12 MPH WITH BY THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...SUKUP
REQUESTED BY...KEN KEMPTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1603696.6/LOX
.EMAIL KKEMPTER@FS.FED.US



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