Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 271747
HMDMSR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1148 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2015

...PRECIPITATION...
LIGHT SNOW FELL FROM EASTERN MISSOURI NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN THREE QUARTERS OF ILLINOIS TO THE CHICAGO METRO AREA AND
NORTHERN INDIANA INTO SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN.  MOST AMOUNTS WERE
LIGHT AND LESS THAN 5 HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH LIQUID EQUIVALENT.

LITTLE OR NOW SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A SWATH
OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE CENTERED ALONG INTERSTATE 70
AND WILL PROGRESS EAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO
RIVER VALLEYS SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. FORTY EIGHT HOUR TOTALS BY
6 AM MONDAY MAY RANGE UP TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OVER
PORTIONS OF MISSOURI...ILLINOIS AND INDIANA.  PRECIPITATION SHOULD
BE MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF SNOW WITH FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE MOSTLY
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

NO GREAT WARM-UP IS FORESEEN IN THE NEAR-TERM.  MODELS CONTINUE TO
HINT THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY MAY SEE TEMPERATURES ABOVE
FREEZING BY MARCH 10TH.

...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...
NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING WAS OCCURRING OR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST
THE NEXT COUPLE WEEKS IN THE NCRFC AREA.  FORECAST TEMPERATURES
OVER THE NEXT MONTH CONTINUE TO BE FAVORABLE FOR ICE JAM
DEVELOPMENT.  ICE JAMS CAN FORM WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING AND CAN
CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RAPIDLY RISE.  IN THE EVENT THAT YOU
OBSERVE FLOODING AS A RESULT OF AN ICE JAM... PLEASE CONTACT YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE SO THE PUBLIC CAN BE WARNED.

THERE ARE CURRENTLY ICE JAMS THROUGHOUT THE KANKAKEE RIVER IN
INDIANA/ILLINOIS.  THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT MOMENCE IL IS CURRENTLY
ABOUT A HALF FOOT ABOVE FLOOD STAGE DUE TO ICE FORMATION IN THE
AREA.  THESE ICE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE WEEKS UNTIL THE SPRING THAW BEGINS.

FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER
FORECASTS...PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC
WEB PAGE AT:     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC

EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST: MMD JDT LNE

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.

$$

...LNE/JDT...




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