Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 011713
HMDMSR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1215 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

...PRECIPITATION...

IN THE PAST 24 HOURS... SHOWERS SLOWLY MOVED OUT THROUGH
MICHIGAN... LEAVING BEHIND WIDESPREAD TOTALS OF A TENTH TO A HALF
INCH... WITH STREAKS OF HIGHER TOTALS JUST OVER AN INCH.
MEANWHILE THE SHOWERS IN THE UPPER SOURIS RIVER BASIN AND WEST OF
OUR WESTERN BOUNDARY PROGRESSED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST ALONG THE
BOUNDARY.  THEY DROPPED A QUARTER INCH TO ON AND QUARTER INCHES
IN THE SOURIS BASIN... BUT JUST UNDER A QUARTER IN THE DAKOTAS-
MINNESOTA BORDER REGION AND ALONG THE BOUNDARY IN IOWA AND
NORTHERN MISSOURI.  THE UPPER HEADWATERS BASINS OF THE MERAMEC
RIVER IN MISSOURI SAW A HALF TO NEARLY TWO INCHES OF RAIN.

IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE IN
MISSOURI AT THE EDGE OF THE MISSISSIPPI BASIN BOUNDARY.  THE
MERAMEC BASINS COULD SEE ANOTHER ONE AND ONE HALF TO THREE INCHES
OF RAIN.  NEIGHBORING PARTS OF ILLINOIS COULD SEE AS MUCH AS AN
INCH OF RAIN WITH LIGHTER TOTALS NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL ILLINOIS.
WEST AND CENTRAL IOWA AND WESTERN MINNESOTA WILL ALSO SEE LIGHT
RAIN.

AS THE WEEK CONTINUES AND INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND... THERE WILL
LIKELY BE ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAIN AT THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE NCRFC
REGION.  DAYTIME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OFF AND
ON ACROSS THE REGION... BUT NO ORGANIZED PATTERN IS LOOKING LIKELY
TO DEVELOP.

...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...

HEAVY RAINS HAVE FALLEN SOMEWHERE IN OUR SERVICE AREA EVERY DAY
FOR THE LAST 3 WEEKS.  DURING THAT PERIOD MUCH OF SOUTHEASTERN
IOWA.. EASTERN MISSOURI.. ILLINOIS.. NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN HAVE SEEN 5-8 INCHES MORE RAIN THAN NORMAL.  MANY
AREAS RECEIVED MORE THAN 8 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL.

AS A RESULT OF THIS PERSISTENT AND HEAVY RAINFALL.. MANY TRIBUTARY
RIVERS HAVE EXPERIENCED MAJOR TO RECORD FLOODING.  THE ILLINOIS
AND MISSISSIPPI MAINSTEM RIVERS HAVE MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING
IN THEIR FORECASTS.

FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER
FORECASTS...PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC
WEB PAGE AT:     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC

EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST: LNE... JDT... BAC... JMP

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.


$$

...JMP/BAC...





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