Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FLUS44 KOUN 191826 AAA
HWOOUN

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
1226 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-201245-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1226 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
There is a risk of severe storms across portions of central and
southern Oklahoma, and all of western north Texas this afternoon.

Location...
A Slight Risk of storms exists along and south of a line extending
from near Seymour, Texas to Hollister, Oklahoma to Lawton and
Marlow to Velma and Burneyville. A Marginal Risk surrounds the
Slight Risk, extending east and south of a line from near
Goodlett, Texas to near Burns Flat, Oklahoma to Okeene to Perkins
and Cushing.

Timing...
3 PM to 2 AM.

Impacts...
Hail to the size of half dollars and wind gusts to 60 mph will be
the main concerns. Locally heavy rainfall may lead to flash
flooding as well. There is a low risk of tornadoes in the late
afternoon and evening.

Discussion...
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop across portions
of western north Texas around mid afternoon, and move into
southwestern Oklahoma late this afternoon. The storms are then
expected to spread north and eastward into central and
southeastern Oklahoma this evening, and then into eastern and
southeastern OK through early Monday morning. Sufficient
instability and winds will be enough to support strong to severe
thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight. Initial thunderstorms
will be more isolated to scattered, developing into a line of
thunderstorms this evening and overnight as they move eastward.
The potential for severe storms will start to decrease beyond
midnight.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...
Storm spotter groups and emergency management personnel across
the risk area should prepare for severe weather operations late
this afternoon and tonight.

.Flash Flooding...
As storms increase in coverage late this evening and overnight,
there will be a risk of flash flooding from north Texas into
southern and central Oklahoma due to heavy rainfall rates.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

.Thunderstorms...
Showers and thunderstorms will remain possible Monday with rain
chances ending from west to east through the day. No severe
weather is expected Monday.

.Fire Weather...
Elevated to Critical wildfire conditions will be possible across
portions of the area Tuesday through Friday. The Critical
conditions are expected Thursday afternoon across portions of
western Oklahoma and western north Texas due to warm temperatures,
low humidities, and gusty southwest winds.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Kurtz/Barnes


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