Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 251230
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAWTHORN...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
730 AM CDT MON APR 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY WEATHER RETURNS TO THE AREA TODAY. IT WILL BE BREEZY AND MILD
THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH LIGHTER WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES
TUESDAY. ANOTHER STORM WITH WETTING RAINFALL WILL ARRIVE TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY. AFTER A BRIEF
BREAK FRIDAY ANOTHER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION WITH WETTING
RAINFALL NEXT WEEKEND. MODERATE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5200-54900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (64800-110900 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........51  45  38  32  36  36  34  32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............67  69  71  73  75  76  78  78
RH..............73  68  61  53  50  46  43  43
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW
20 FT WIND SPD..16  16  16  16  16  17  18  17
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW
EYE LVL WND SPD.11  11  11  11  11  12  13  12
EYE LVL WND GST.25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 3.0 3.6 4.3 4.9 5.5 6.2 5.8
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW
MIXNG WIND SPD..21  21  21  20  20  21  21  20
HAINES INDEX....3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO
                    6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (37300-86200 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (1300-13900 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........31     37     36     35     35     37
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............76     70     64     60     58     55
RH..............46     51     67     75     75     80
20 FT WIND......WSW 15 W 10   W 7    NW 7   NW 7   NNW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..WSW 11 W 7    W 5    NW 5   NW 5   NNW 4
EYE LVL WND GST.20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....5400   3400   300    600    800    800
MIXNG WIND......WSW 18 W 13   WNW 6  WNW 6  NW 6   WNW 6
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      3      3      3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX...IT WILL
BE BREEZY AND MILD THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH LIGHTER WINDS
AND COOLER TEMPERATURES TUESDAY. .....5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1000-48100 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........39        45        58        64
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............53        60        70        76
RH..............83        72        57        46
20 FT WIND......N 6       NNE 8G10  E 9G10    E 12G15
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 4G5     NNE 6G10  E 6G10    E 9G15
MIX HGT (FT)....400       1600      2900      4200
MIXNG WIND......NW 5      NNE 8     ENE 8     E 9
HAINES INDEX....4         4         5         4

$$
FORECASTER...VACHALEK
REQUESTED BY...TOM SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160425.HAWTH.01/DMX



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