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000
FXUS64 KEWX 210734
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
234 AM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

A weakening upper level shortwave currently moving over our area is
producing showers and storms ahead of it, mainly along and east of
the I-35 corridor. This feature will move east of our area by sunrise
ending the showers and storms as subsidence takes hold due to upper
level ridging building over our area today through Monday. Cold
advection along with widespread cloudiness and breezy northeasterly
winds will make for quite a chilly day by late April standards.
Clouds erode or thin tonight into Monday. This allows for a cooler
night tonight due to decreasing winds and a warmer day on Monday as
cold advection ends and southerly winds return. Well below normal
temperatures are expected today through Monday.


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

The beginning of the long-term portion of the forecast is expected
to be dry as weak ridging moves in place over the region. Highs on
Tuesday will top out in the upper 70s to lower 80s for most
locations but will warm into the 80s areawide on Wednesday. The
upper ridging will give way to the next approaching upper trough
axis by Thursday. The base of this trough will pass to our north,
but some of the medium range models are showing some low amounts of
QPF within the southerly flow ahead of the trough on Thursday and
Friday. This would most likely be just some showery activity
underneath a stoup capping inversion expected to be in place. The
official forecast will show just some 20 PoPs in the northern
counties in closer proximity to the best lift. Highs Thursday and
Friday will be in the 80s to lower 90s. Behind the system, even
warmer conditions are expected on Saturday with highs in the upper
80s to upper 90s with the warmer values expected towards the Rio
Grande. Besides the low rain chances on Thursday and Friday, no
impactful weather is expected during the long-term portion of the
forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1237 AM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Strong to severe TSRA currently moving through the KSAT/KSSF area
will move east of there by 07Z or 08Z, then slowly weaken.
Otherwise, a mix of LIFR/MVFR CIGs with local reductions to VSBY will
prevail overnight through much of Sunday. CIGs/VSBYs then rise to VFR
later on Sunday. Northerly winds of 10 to 20 KTs with a few gusts to
30 KTs overnight into Sunday, decrease to less than 10 KTs Sunday
night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              49  71  54  80 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  46  71  51  79 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     49  73  53  81 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            46  69  53  79 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           57  76  60  87 /   0  10   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        47  70  52  79 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             48  73  53  80 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        47  72  51  80 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   48  71  52  79 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       50  72  55  79 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           51  73  56  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...04
Long-Term...29
Aviation...04