Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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FXUS64 KJAN 030250
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
950 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

.UPDATE...THOUGHT THE RAIN COULD BE REMOVED BEFORE MIDNIGHT...BUT
SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI. LEFT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
IN BEFORE MIDNIGHT FOR THE OTHER NORTHERN TIER. DID NOT CHANGE THE
POPS OVERNIGHT. THE MODELS SUGGEST THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL
HOLD OFF UNTIL AT LEAST 9Z AND GENERALLY IMPACT THE HIGHWAY 82
CORRIDOR...MAYBE A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH. THE HRRR BARELY BRINGS THE
LINE OF STORMS INTO THE CWA. THE CURRENT FORECAST WAS A GOOD
COMPROMISE. LOOKS LIKE WINDS WILL STAY UP ACROSS THE AREA AND HIGH
CLOUDS WILL HANG AROUND...SO TEMPS MAY BE SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN
EXPECTED. TWEAKED THE VALUES IN A FEW SPOTS. NO OTHER CHANGES.


&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 6 HOURS. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 10KTS AT MOST SITES. PUT IN VCTS/SHRA
GENERALLY FROM 9-15Z FOR GLH..GWO AND GTR. MODEL SUGGEST
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP AGAIN ALSO...MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTH WITH
SUSTAINED VALUES FROM 12-14 KTS AND MAYBE MORE GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KTS
IN THE AFTERNOON. FOR NOW IT LOOKS LIKE RAIN IN THE MORNING...A BREAK
IN THE AFTERNOON AND MORE RAIN IN THE EVENING. CEILINGS LOOK TO
REMAIN ABOVE 3KFT THROUGH THE PERIOD.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       73  89  72  86 /   9  12  54  67
MERIDIAN      73  92  70  87 /  10  10  62  55
VICKSBURG     73  87  72  86 /   9  19  62  65
HATTIESBURG   74  93  74  90 /   8   8  28  44
NATCHEZ       74  89  74  87 /   8  18  35  64
GREENVILLE    74  87  72  85 /  53  44  76  66
GREENWOOD     73  87  71  83 /  54  44  75  63

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

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