Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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841
FXUS64 KMAF 102259
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
459 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected at the west Texas and southeast New
Mexico terminals the next 24 hours under clear skies. A weak
cold front is expected to push through the terminals during the
day Thursday and result in a wind shift to the north.

12

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 242 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016/

DISCUSSION...

Temperatures today feel much more like mid-spring than late
winter, as a combination of solar insolation as well as
downslope warming due to southwesterly surface flow have many
locations on the way to high temperatures some 10 to 15 degrees
above normal in the middle 70s. Lows tonight will also be a few
degrees warmer than previous nights, with temperatures expected to
be in the 30s and 40s, aside from some upper 20s possible across
the Marfa Plateau.

As west Texas and southeast New Mexico remain under northwesterly
flow aloft the next few days due to the high amplitude upper
pattern in place across the CONUS, tranquil weather will continue,
with dry conditions and above normal temperatures area- wide. A
weak cold front will move through the area during the day on
Thursday, though will only be noticeable due to a wind shift to
the north and slightly cooler but still above normal temperatures
in the mid 60s north to upper 70s south. Temperatures will warm
again on Friday as southerly surface flow returns, with flow aloft
transitioning to quasizonal on Saturday in response to a shortwave
dropping out of Alberta toward the Upper Midwest. Another cold
front will move through the region Sunday night/Monday, but
similar to the previous, the only impact will be slightly cooler
temperatures and a northerly wind shift. Despite the weak fronts,
little looks to change in the forecast through midweek next week,
with continued above normal temperatures and dry conditions, but
thankfully, winds look to remain on the light side, precluding
critical fire weather concerns despite the persistently warm and
dry pattern.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     37  68  34  74 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       35  69  31  76 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         41  78  43  79 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  44  75  43  80 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 40  65  42  71 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          35  68  31  73 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          28  71  26  73 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           38  70  34  74 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         38  70  36  74 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           33  72  31  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

67/84



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