Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 250456
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1056 PM CST Fri Nov 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 213 PM CST Fri Nov 24 2017

...Several Above Normal Temperature Days Ahead...

Cold front moving through the forecast area this afternoon, which
allowed highs to climb into the mid to upper 70s ahead of it. This
set a new record temperature of 75 at Lincoln, previously record
was 72 set in 2011. Omaha reached 72, but was just shy of the
record of 73 also set in 2011. Winds also gusted to about 43 to 46
mph immediately behind the front for about an hour. Winds will
diminish this evening as high pressure continues to build into the
area.

West northwest winds prevail on Saturday, but will be significantly
lower than today. And while it will be cooler on Saturday with
highs in the mid to upper 50s, it will still be well above normal
which are in the mid 40s.

Light west southwest flow continues on Sunday, which helps boost
highs into the upper 50s to lower 60s.

Well above normal highs are forecast Monday, with H85 temps
warming into the upper teens. This should translate into surface
highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s for us, which would be another
record breaking temperature day at Omaha and Lincoln, where
records are 67 and 68 respectively, but probably not warm enough
to reach 73 at Norfolk.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Friday)
Issued at 213 PM CST Fri Nov 24 2017

A strong cold front moves into the area Monday night. This ushers
in cooler temperatures and breezy conditions for Tuesday, but
highs will still be above normal in the 50s.

Models are focusing on a trough moving through the central Rockies
Tuesday then onto the Plains Tuesday night. The GFS is taking a
slightly more southern latitudinal position than the ECMWF or the
Canadian. GFS would keep precip south of I80, but other two models
suggest it could be a little further north. Thus, will have a
chance of rain and snow for Wednesday, but confidence is low
right now due to model spread. Even still, temps on Wednesday are
still above normal, in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

Dry weather continues next Thursday and Friday as another weak
reinforcing cool front settles into the area, but with still just
slightly above normal temps in the mid to upper 40s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 1056 PM CST Fri Nov 24 2017

Light northwest or west winds will continue through the forecast
period with a few passing high clouds.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DeWald
LONG TERM...DeWald
AVIATION...Mead



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