Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago

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FXZS60 NSTU 280104
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
204 PM SST WED MAY 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOW SCATTERED
CONVECTIONS MOVING ACROSS THE ISLANDS. RAOB FROM THIS AFTERNOON
DEPICTS A CONDITIONAL UNSTABLE PROFILE. MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE
WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO LINGER ACROSS THE ISLANDS
TONIGHT AND THE REST OF THE SHORT TERM. A LOW IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP TO THE SOUTH ON THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE PUSHING AN ASSOCIATED
TROUGH ACROSS THE ISLANDS ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
THEREFORE...EXPECT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND BREEZY EAST WINDS DURING
THE SHORT TERM. HOWEVER EAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TO
LIGHT AND VARIABLE ON FRIDAY NIGHT.


.LONG TERM...
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE ACTIVE TROUGH WILL LINGER THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE IT DISSIPATES ON MONDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
TO THE SOUTHWEST WILL MIGRATE EASTWARD LATE DURING THE LONG TERM.
EXPECT IMPROVING AND STABLE WEATHER ACROSS THE ISLANDS ON MONDAY
MORNING AND REST OF THE LONG TERM.

&&

.MARINE...
AUNUU BUOY DEPICTS SEAS OF 6 TO 8 FT OVER COASTAL WATERS. SOUTHERN
SWELLS WILL ELEVATE SEAS TO 9 TO 12 FT ON THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE
SUBSIDING 6 TO 8 FT ON SATURDAY. ROUGH SEAS WILL SUBSIDING BELOW
ADVISORY LEVELS ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT

&&

$$

MALALA







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