Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago

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FXZS60 NSTU 020137
AFDPPG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
237 PM SST WED OCT 1 2014
.SHORT TERM...
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...A LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE HAS TRIGGERED
SCATTERED SHOWERS TO MOVE OVER MANUA WESTWARD TONIGHT. ANOTHER BULK
OF CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FOUND TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TUTUILA
AND MANUA...THESE CLOUDS AND RAINFALL WILL BE MOVING TO THE SOUTH
OF THE REGION THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THUS...AN AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE NEAR THE SAMOAN ISLANDS WILL PROVIDE MODERATE TO
FRESH BREEZE AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
.LONG TERM...
.SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE INCREASING
CLOUDINESS AND NUMEROUS SHOWERS OVER TUTUILA WESTWARD DURING
SATURDAY (041800 UTC TO 050600 UTC). A DEVELOPING HIGH PRESSURE
SYSTEM WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE SAMOAN ISLANDS WILL BUILD EASTWARD
INTO THE NEW WEEK ALLOWING THE TRADE-WINDS TO ENTER THE FCST ZONES
STARTING SUNDAY MORNING. IF MODELS ARE CORRECT...ANTICIPATE
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS TO LINGER OVER THE REGION BEFORE
MONDAY. THEREFORE...ANTICIPATE MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZE THROUGH THE
MIDWEEK.
&&
.MARINE...COMBINED SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.
&&
.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.
&&
$$
BAQUI



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