Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS28 KWNS 041913
FWDD38

DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0212 PM CDT WED MAY 04 2016

VALID 061200Z - 121200Z

ZONES OF ENHANCED LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW ATTENDANT TO A SLOW-MOVING
MID-LEVEL CYCLONE WILL OVERLIE A DRY BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE SWRN QUARTER OF THE CONUS...ENHANCING THE FIRE-WEATHER
POTENTIAL FROM D3/FRI THROUGH D6/MON. PROBABILISTIC DELINEATIONS ARE
IN EFFECT FOR EACH OF THESE DAYS...AS SUPPORTED BY THE LATEST
CONSENSUS AMONGST DETERMINISTIC/ENSEMBLE MODEL GUIDANCE. CRITICAL
AREAS ARE IN EFFECT ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/SWRN/S-CNTRL NM AND FAR
SERN AZ ON D3/FRI...AND ACROSS PARTS OF SERN NM ON D4/SAT AND
D5/SUN. THESE CRITICAL AREAS INDICATE THE LOCATIONS/DAYS OF GREATEST
POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS AMIDST DRY FUELS.
ADJUSTMENTS TO THESE AREAS MAY BE NECESSARY IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS
AS ADDITIONAL GUIDANCE BECOMES AVAILABLE. RELATIVELY LESS-FAVORABLE
FUELS FOR FIRE SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF W TX AND NRN AZ/NM PRECLUDE
HIGHER OUTLOOK PROBABILITIES IN THESE AREAS...DESPITE THE POTENTIAL
FOR ELEVATED TO CRITICAL METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS.

..COHEN.. 05/04/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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