Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS28 KWNS 292006
FWDD38

DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0306 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

VALID 311200Z - 061200Z

UPPER PATTERN AT THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD -- 12Z/SUN --
IS EXPECTED TO BE CHARACTERIZED BY A TROUGH OVER THE LWR/MID MS
VALLEYS...RIDGING ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHWEST...AND AN
APPROACHING TROUGH OFF THE W COAST. EWD PROGRESSION OF THE TROUGH
INITIALLY OFF THE W COAST WILL LEAD TO A DAMPENING OF THE GREAT
BASIN RIDGE BY EARLY D5/TUE. AFTER THIS DAMPENING OCCURS...GENERAL
TROUGHINESS IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS WRN CONUS THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. SOME WEAK RIDGING MAY PERSIST FROM THE SRN
PLAINS NEWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY THROUGH MID-WEEK. PREDICTABILITY
BEGINS TO DECREASE ON D4/TUE WITH A CONTINUED DECREASE THEREAFTER AS
MODEL GUIDANCE DIVERGES.

...D3/SUN-D4/MON: GREAT BASIN AND NRN AZ...
SWLY WINDS ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
TROUGH. DEEP MIXING COUPLED WITH THE ENHANCED FLOW ALOFT WILL
SUPPORT GUSTY SURFACE WINDS AMIDST WARM AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS.
CRITICAL METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS APPEAR LIKELY BUT GENERALLY
MOIST/UNRECEPTIVE FUELS ARE EXPECTED TO TEMPER ANY POTENTIAL THREAT.
AS SUCH...NO AREAS WILL BE DELINEATED WITH THIS FORECAST BUT THE
AREA WILL BE REVIEWED CLOSELY IN SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS.

..MOSIER.. 05/29/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...



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