Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 071551
HMDMSR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1051 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...PRECIPITATION...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUED
TO DEVELOP WITH THE COLD FRONT THAT HAS BEEN MOVING ACROSS OUR
REGIONS.  THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS...2 TO 5 INCHES WERE
REPORTED FROM EAST CENTRAL TO SOUTHEAST IOWA ACROSS NORTHERN
ILLINOIS.  OTHER RAINFALL TOTALS IN THE 1 TO 2 INCH RANGE WERE
REPORTED ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN WISCONSIN TO THE
NORTHWEST HALF OF LOWER MICHIGAN...ACROSS NORTHERN INDIANA TO
CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND NORTHERN MISSOURI.

IN THE FORECAST...THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTH AND
EAST...PRODUCING AROUND AN INCH OF RAIN ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS TO NORTHERN INDIANA AND LOWER MICHIGAN.

...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...

AREA MAINSTEM RIVERS ARE ON RECESSION AFTER MODERATE TO MAJOR TO
RECORD FLOODING OCCURRED OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF WEEKS.  LEVELS
ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER REMAIN ABOVE MAJOR FLOOD LEVELS FROM HAVANA
TO HARDIN.  THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT CHESTER REMAINS ABOVE
MODERATE LEVELS.

MINOR RISES ARE FORECAST ON TRIBUTARIES TO THE MISSISSIPPI AND
ILLINOIS RIVERS DUE TO RAINFALL OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS.
FORECAST POINTS AT THE MOUTH OF THE IOWA AND DES MOINES RIVERS
ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TO AROUND FLOOD STAGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT SHELBY... INDIANA... IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
NEAR FLOOD STAGE FOR THE NEXT 5 DAYS.  THE LA MOINE RIVER AT
RIPLEY... ILLINOIS... IS ON THE RISE AGAIN... EXPECTED TO CREST
BELOW FLOOD STAGE.

MORE RAIN EXPECTED THIS WEEK IS CURRENTLY TARGETING MISSOURI AND
ILLINOIS... WHERE THE MONTH OF JUNE SAW WIDESPREAD TWO TO TEN
INCHES ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL TOTALS... AND SEVERAL JUNE
PRECIPITATION RECORDS WERE BROKEN.  RAPID RISES MAY OCCUR ON THE
TRIBUTARIES TO THE MAINSTEM ILLINOIS AND MISSISSIPPI RIVERS
ASSOCIATED WITH HEAVY RAINFALL.

FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER
FORECASTS...PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC
WEB PAGE AT:     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC


EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST: MMZ RJW ALH RHR

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.


$$

...RHR/ALH...





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