Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 241651

Hydrometeorological Forecast Discussion
NWS North Central River Forecast Center Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1028 AM CST Fri Nov 24 2017


The last 24 hours saw very light precipitation across North
Dakota, northern Minnesota and northern Michigan.  Totals did not
exceed a tenth of an inch within the NCRFC area, and warm
temperatures resulted in the majority of that precipitation
falling as rain.

In the forecast..

Warm temperatures will be pushed out over the next 24 hours as
colder air moves in from the northwest.  Light precipitation is
expected mostly over northern Michigan in the next 48 hours.
Totals are expected to stay below 0.2 inches, though the cold air
means this could result in 1 to 3 inches of snow in northern lower
Michigan and the upper peninsula.

...Hydrologic Conditions...

The soils are wet and the rivers are running high throughout
Wisconsin, Michgigan and eastern Minnesota. Despite these
conditions, the steady light preciptitation we have been
experiencing over the fall has prevented significant flooding.
The Kankakee River at Shelby, Indiana is our only forecast point
above flood stage is expected to drop below minor flood stage over
the weekend.

The light precipitation in the forecast will give rivers a chance
to move some of the water out of the region but freezing and
thawing as temperatures fluctuate may lead to minor fluctuations
in stage.  In the northern reaches of the NCRFC where significant
snowfall has accumulated, the forecast warm spell will bring some
short-lived rises in flow as snowpack becomes snowmelt. Despite
that, no significant flooding is expected.

For additional and more in-depth information concerning river
forecasts, precipitation and all hydrometeorological information
in the NCRFC area of responsibility, please refer to the NCRFC
web page at:     http://www.weather.gov/ncrfc

Emergency Call Back List: SAS, LLD, ANM

If no response from this list, call the DOH, SCH or HIC.



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