Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana

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FXUS63 KIWX 241115

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
615 AM EST Fri Nov 24 2017

Issued at 615 AM EST Fri Nov 24 2017

Primarily dry conditions will persist through the weekend with
just a low chance for a few sprinkles tonight. Highs will climb
into the 50s today but return to the 40s for the weekend. There
are a few chances for light precipitation next week but conditions
will remain largely dry with temperatures near to slightly above


.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 202 AM EST Fri Nov 24 2017

Breezy and warmer today with increasing SW flow ahead of
approaching cold front. Expect temps around 10F warmer than
yesterday with highs 50-55F. Cold front will be lacking in both
moisture and forcing with no gulf return flow and northern stream
flow well into southern Canada. As a result...frontal passage
tonight will bring just an increase in clouds to most of the
forecast area with just a slight chance of rain in northern CWA.


.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 202 AM EST Fri Nov 24 2017

Fairly quiet weather pattern and seasonable temperatures for most
of the long term period as surface ridging builds into the
region. Strong wave moves onshore in western US on Monday with
part of this energy breaking off from the northern stream flow and
forming cutoff low in the four corners on Tuesday. This system
will lift E/NE into the midwest toward the end of the forecast
period. Plenty of model variability in timing and sensible weather
impacts associated with this feature. Latest model blend has rain
chances back into the forecast area Thursday with potential for
rain/snow Thursday night.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday Morning)
Issued at 615 AM EST Fri Nov 24 2017

VFR conditions will continue through today with very dry low level
profiles. A moisture-starved shortwave and cold front will cross
the area tonight with gusty SSW winds expected ahead of it. Low
level dry air will limit precip potential but some brief MVFR
ceilings may be possible early Saturday morning given modest
postfrontal CAA.


LM...Gale Warning from 10 AM this morning to 10 PM EST this evening
     for LMZ043-046.




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