Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana

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FXUS63 KIWX 280235

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1035 PM EDT Thu Oct 27 2016

Issued at 1024 PM EDT Thu Oct 27 2016

High pressure will move across the area tonight providing fair
weather. Southerly flow behind the high will result in a warming
trend Friday and Saturday with continued dry conditions. A cold
front is expected to move through the area Saturday night bringing
a chance of rain, followed by cooler temperatures for Sunday.
Lows across the area tonight will be in the upper 30s and lower
40s, with highs Friday ranging from the upper 50s in lower
Michigan to the mid 60s in central Indiana.


Issued at 1024 PM EDT Thu Oct 27 2016

Low clouds in wk low level flow still extensive across the area
late this eve with some high clouds associated with shrtwv
dropping sewd across the upr grtlks also overspreading our area.
Renewed subsidence in wake of this shrtwv should allow clouds to
diminish in coverage toward daybreak. Adjusted grids for more
cloudiness overnight with a subsequent slight upward adjustment to
min temps.


.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)
Issued at 301 PM EDT Thu Oct 27 2016

The cold front had pushed south to the Ohio River early this
afternoon. Trailing precipitation ended early this morning with
clearing skies ahead Friday as deep layer subsidence increases. A
quick return flow with limited cold air advection tonight will
allow temperatures to recover into the 60s over most areas Friday.


.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 301 PM EDT Thu Oct 27 2016

Overall, a very mild and generally dry period is on the horizon late
this weekend into next week. In the interim, there is a very good
chance for rain late Saturday night over northeast areas from far
southern Lower Michigan into northwest Ohio as a another front
moves southeast. Moisture will pool along and south of the front
with precipitable water values climbing to near climatological
records for this time of year of 1.4 inches.

Temperatures will remain much above normal into next week as the
upper level flow remains southwest to west.  Highs should reach from
the upper 60s into the 70s on Saturday and again on Monday through
Wednesday. Much uncertainty on chances of rain during the middle
of next week as relatively week systems move east or northeast in
strong flow aloft.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday Evening)
Issued at 802 PM EDT Thu Oct 27 2016

Strato cu deck with mainly mvfr bases over nrn IN extends west of
the ridge axis over IL, though some holes have developed within the
cloud deck. Ridge expected to move across nrn IN overnight allowing
mvfr conditions to transition to vfr. Opted on the pessimistic side
wrt clearing of low clouds with mvfr clouds fcst in latest tafs to
linger into early morning, though confidence on timing is low as
holes in cloud deck could cont to expand. Drier more stable airmass
movg into our area via southerly flow behind the ridge Fri should
provide vfr conditions through the day.


LM...Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM Friday to 5 PM EDT Saturday for



SHORT TERM...Skipper
LONG TERM...Skipper

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