Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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FXUS63 KDLH 231120 AAA
AFDDLH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
620 AM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 620 AM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

UPDATED FOR THE NEW 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.


&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 AM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

AT 330 AM...SKIES WERE CLEAR ACROSS THE NORTHLAND. AS HAS BEEN THE
CASE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL NIGHTS...WE WERE SEEING SOME FOG
DEVELOPMENT. VSBYS WERE HIGHLY VARIABLE ACROSS THE CWA. TEMPS WERE
GENERALLY IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S...ALTHOUGH THERE WERE SOME
50S AND EVEN LOWER 60S NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR.

THE MAIN FOCUS FOR OUR WEATHER TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE
TROUGH THAT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY...WITH HIGHS REACHING
THE 70S ONCE AGAIN. CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE FROM WEST TO
EAST TONIGHT...AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES THE REGION. COULD SEE SOME
ISOLATED SHOWERS SPREADING INTO THE AREA LATER IN THE NIGHT.
SHOULD SEE A GOOD DEAL OF CLOUDS DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE
INTO WEDNESDAY. WILL ONLY GO WITH 20 POPS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
BUT THERE MAY BE SOME AREAS THAT WILL NEED A BIT HIGHER
POPS...ESPECIALLY IN THE FAR N/NE AND IN NW WI. THE MODELS
GENERALLY BRING LOW QPF WITH THIS FEATURE.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 AM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

THE NORTHLAND CAN LOOK FORWARD TO A LONG STRETCH OF SUNNY AND WARM
WEATHER. WHILE THERE MIGHT BE SOME SHOWERS OVER THE EASTERN FORECAST
AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH A PASSING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...THURSDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY LOOKS WARM AND DRY DUE TO SOUTHERLY FLOW AND UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL LIKELY BE THE WARMEST DAYS
WITH HIGHS CLIMBING TO THE LOW TO MID 70S...ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL CANADA AND A COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY
SAG SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE MINNESOTA BORDER LATE THIS WEEKEND AND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL BRING CHANCES OF SHOWERS OVER THE
NORTHERN FORECAST AREA BY SUNDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE
COOLER BY MONDAY...BUT STILL NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 620 AM CDT TUE SEP 23 2014

THERE WAS WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS OVER NE MINNESOTA AND NW
WISCONSIN THIS MORNING WITH PATCHY FOG OVER THE REGION. ONCE THE
FOG DISSIPATES...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE
WINDS WILL WEAKEN TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  71  52  69  53 /   0   0  20  10
INL  75  51  67  53 /   0   0  20  10
BRD  73  55  70  54 /  10  20  20  10
HYR  73  50  70  52 /   0   0  20  20
ASX  73  51  70  52 /   0   0  20  20

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
LS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DAP
LONG TERM...GROCHOCINSKI
AVIATION...GROCHOCINSKI






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