Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FXUS62 KFFC 272355
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
755 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016



.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 344 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2016/

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Thursday Night/...
No major changes in the short term with the over all atmospheric
pattern. The main east- west oriented upper ridge continues to
control the weather pattern across the southeastern states. the
wave that was over the northern gulf yesterday is now a weak low
center rotating near the LA/AR/MS border. Showers and
Thunderstorms are rotating northward across MS and AL and into
West Central GA this afternoon. Right now we are only seeing
showers as the best instability continues to stay west of our
area. With the increased gulf moisture moving into the region
coverage may be a bit more Thursday than today. Temps should
continue slightly above normal with Heat Index values remaining
below 105 so no advisory expected.

01

LONG TERM /Friday through Wednesday/...
No major changes needed to the long term portion of the forecast.

Ridging aloft begins to break down by Friday into early Saturday as
a weak trough/shear axis develops across AL. This shear axis/trough
will settle across northern GA for much of the weekend into early
next week. At the surface...weak lee trough may try to set up across
north eastern GA as high pressure remains situated across the
southern CWFA. The ridging aloft should begin to build back over the
area by the middle of next week.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected each day and should
be diurnal in nature. Highest pop values should be in the vicinity
of the shear axis/trough or the surface trough through early next
week. The current grids reflect this...so didn`t make any changes.
No strong indicators for widespread severe weather are noted at this
time.

One thing to watch...the 00Z run of the ECMWF and the new GFS bring
a low pressure system into the Caribbean by the early/middle part
of next week.

NListemaa


.AVIATION...
00Z Update...
FAIRLY QUIET PERIOD ON TAP FOR ALL TAF SITES. TRANQUIL NIGHT
EXPECTED...WITH THREAT OF LOWER CLOUD BLANKET EXPECTED TO STAY
NORTHWEST OF METRO SITES. BY MID-MORNING THURSDAY...WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO PICK UP ALONG WITH DEVELOPMENT OF DIURNAL CU DECK. KEPT
PROB30S OUT OF ALL TAFS FOR NOW...AS LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
GREATEST PRECIP THREAT WILL STAY TO THE NORTHWEST. WINDS CONTINUE
FROM THE SW THRU THE PERIOD...GENERALLY 5-15KT WITH GUSTS UP
TOWARDS 20KT THURS AFTERNOON. NO RESTRICTIONS TO VSBYS.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS

Kovacik

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          75  96  73  93 /  10  20  20  30
Atlanta         75  92  72  89 /  20  20  20  30
Blairsville     70  86  69  84 /  20  40  40  50
Cartersville    74  91  72  88 /  20  30  30  40
Columbus        74  95  74  94 /  30  20  20  20
Gainesville     74  91  72  88 /  20  30  30  40
Macon           75  98  74  97 /  10  10  10  20
Rome            73  91  72  89 /  20  50  40  50
Peachtree City  73  93  73  90 /  20  20  20  30
Vidalia         76  99  74  99 /  10  10  10  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kovacik
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...Kovacik


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