Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA

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FXUS66 KHNX 061120
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
320 AM PST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND RESULTING IN A WARMING TREND AND DRY WEATHER INTO AT LEAST
THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE REGION FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS AS A REX BLOCKING PATTERN EXIST OVER THE WEST. WHILE
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
TEMPERATURES WILL SEE A POSITIVE CHANGE THROUGH MONDAY. CURRENTLY
...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS WERE SHOWING DEW POINTS TEMPERATURES IN
THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. DEW POINT TEMPERATURES AT THESE LEVELS
LOWER THE POTENTIAL FOR FOG FORMATION. THEREFORE...WILL KEEP THE
MENTION OF FOG TO VERY ISOLATED AND MORE FAVORABLE LOCATIONS
ACROSS THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. WITH THIS...FOG WILL BE OF LITTLE
CONCERN FOR THIS MORNING.

ENSEMBLE MODEL PROG THE BLOCKING PATTERN TO EXIST OVER THE WEST
THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...GFS MOD
TREND ANALYSIS STILL SHOWING AN UPPER LOW TOWARD THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC TO DEEPENING WITH THE POTENTIAL TO SHIFT THE BLOCKING
PATTERN EASTWARD AND INTRODUCE PRECIP TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK. ENSEMBLE SHOWING INCREASING CERTAINTY ON THE POSSIBLE
PRECIP SOLUTION. THEREFORE...WILL KEEP THE MENTION OF STARTING
PRECIP ON WEDNESDAY WITH A CONTINUATION ON THURSDAY. BY FRIDAY...
LINGERING MOUNTAIN SHOWERS MAY CONTINUE BEFORE THE DISTRICT DRY/S
OUT TOWARD THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
INTERIOR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS MEDIUM.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 03-06       86:1899     48:1952     54:2011     31:1971
KFAT 03-07       84:1899     48:1918     57:1986     30:1969
KFAT 03-08       84:1972     45:1974     60:1989     29:1964

KBFL 03-06       82:1972     51:1958     57:1972     30:1903
KBFL 03-07       83:1993     51:1919     63:1975     28:1907
KBFL 03-08       87:1934     47:1919     66:1910     29:1893
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MOLINA
AVN/FW...JEB
SYNOPSIS...WP

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD


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