Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH

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FXUS61 KILN 241956
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
356 PM EDT Mon Jul 24 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will build into the region tonight and will extend
across the area into Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms will
return for Thursday and Thursday night as a cold front
approaches and moves through the region.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
A cold front is now south and east of the region this afternoon.
High pressure will build south into the Great Lakes and Ohio
Valley tonight. Diurnal cumulus will scatter overnight. Models
suggest that some stratocumulus or stratus may form near our
eastern CWFA border. Some of this looks overdone, and believe if
it does form it will not cover the eastern areas as much as
indicated. Also, as winds lighten there may be some patchy river
fog, but this should be limited due to drier air moving into the
region. Lows will range from the mid 50s north to the lower 60s
south.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure ridging will extend into the region for Tuesday
into Tuesday night. Dry air will remain along with mostly sunny
day and a mostly clear night. Highs will range from the upper
70s to the lower 80s with lows once again in the mid 50s to the
lower 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Ridge of high pressure will continue to extend across the region
into Wednesday with dry conditions and nearly seasonal temperatures.

A short wave will drop southeast through the Great Lakes on
Thursday pushing a cold front towards the area. Showers and
thunderstorms will increase in coverage through the day and
continue into the evening. As the cold front moves through
Thursday night, precipitation will end.

Upper level long wave trough will become established and persist
through the weekend. At the surface, high pressure will remain
centered to the northwest of the area bringing a prolonged period of
northeasterly winds. This fetch off of Lake Erie may bring some
extra clouds and perhaps even a few showers into northwest counties.
Temperatures will be slightly below normal Friday through the
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A cold front will continue to push southeast away from the
region for the remainder of the afternoon. A stray shower in the
wake of the front may occur, otherwise, SCT to locally BKN
cumulus clouds can be expected.

For tonight, a ridge of high pressure will build south into the
Great Lakes and the Ohio Valley. Skies should become mostly
clear. Some patchy fog will be possible at KLUK and have limited
this to just MVFR visibilities.

On Tuesday, high pressure will continue to extend into the
region. Some diurnally driven FEW-SCT cumulus clouds will be
possible, mainly near the northern terminals.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms will be possible Thursday into Thursday
night.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Hickman
NEAR TERM...Hickman
SHORT TERM...Hickman
LONG TERM...Franks
AVIATION...Hickman



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