Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 010013
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
813 PM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...MUCH COOLER AND VERY WINDY SATURDAY...
...COOLEST NIGHT OF THE SEASON THUS FAR SATURDAY NIGHT...

.UPDATE...UPPER SHORT WAVE OVER THE OHIO VALLEY WILL DIVE SE
TONIGHT PUSHING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT.
STRONG NW WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE
REGION TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. RADARS NOW SHOWING LIGHT SHOWERS OVER
SW GA MOVING TO THE SE. MODELS MOSTLY KEEP AREA DRY TONIGHT BUT HIGH
RESOLUTION MODELS(HRRR AND NMM) DO SHOW SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN
MOVING INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. WILL KEEP POPS SILENT FOR NOW DUE
TO DRY LOW LEVELS AND CONTINUE TO MONITOR RADAR TRENDS. MUCH
COLDER AND WINDY FOR SATURDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE
NEAR THE BEACHES AND WATERWAYS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEXT 24 HRS. COLD FRONT MOVES OVER
THE AREA LATE TONIGHT. MAY SEE A BAND OF CLOUDS IN THE 3000-5000FT
LAYER MOVE BY IN THE 0800-1200Z PERIOD...BUT STILL ANTICIPATE VFR.
W TO NW WINDS 5 KTS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TO NW 13
TO 23 KTS AND GUSTY AFTER ABOUT 0800Z.  WINDS MAY BE A LITTLE STRONGER
DURING THE DAY SATURDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 28-30 KTS POSSIBLE.
WINDS WILL START TO DECREASE BY 2300Z

&&

.MARINE...LIGHT NW WINDS OVER THE WATERS THIS EVENING WILL GREATLY
INCREASE WITH NEXT COLD FRONT BETWEEN 05Z-10Z TONIGHT. GALE FORCE
GUSTS OFFSHORE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. SEAS WILL
BUILD RAPIDLY UP TO 7 FEET OFFSHORE BY 10Z.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  41  56  36  60 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  46  57  42  60 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  45  57  38  61 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  50  59  43  62 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  45  58  35  62 /  10   0   0   0
OCF  47  60  36  63 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR CLAY-DUVAL-
     FLAGLER-NASSAU-PUTNAM-ST JOHNS.

GA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR COASTAL CAMDEN-
     COASTAL GLYNN-INLAND CAMDEN-INLAND GLYNN-WAYNE.

AM...GALE WARNING FROM 5 AM EDT SATURDAY TO 3 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
     ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM EDT SATURDAY TO 9 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
     FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-ST AUGUSTINE
     TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

ZIBURA/WOLF/WALSH






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