Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT

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FXUS65 KMSO 292042
AFDMSO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Missoula MT
242 PM MDT Fri Jul 29 2016

...Breezy, hot weekend ahead...

.DISCUSSION...Today and Saturday will be quite hot for the
Northern Rockies, as temperatures escalate into the 90s for much
of western Montana and low 100s for valleys in central Idaho.
Saturday will be the warmest day, with breezy winds occurring
during the late afternoon and evening. By Sunday afternoon, winds
will increase even further, with many areas of southwest Montana
and parts of west central Montana seeing gusts of 30 to 40 mph.
This will bring about an elevated concern for fire activity, as
well as causing recreational inconveniences for those planning to
be outdoors. If you have boating plans, expect predominantly
choppy waters as a result of gusty afternoon winds. Especially
susceptible to winds will be the northeastern shores of Flathead
Lake, where wave heights could grow throughout the day and become
problematic for smaller watercraft.

On Monday, weak high pressure under a quickly moving ridge will
lead to warm temperatures with continued breezy afternoon winds.

By Tuesday morning, models continue to show a strong low pressure
system moving into the Pacific Northwest, dragging a mostly dry
cold front across the Northern Rockies. Afternoon winds are likely
to be as strong, if not stronger, than winds on Sunday. This will
lead to another day with increased fire danger. Those with
recreation plans for area lakes will also want to keep an eye on
the forecast, as water surfaces may again become choppy by the
late afternoon and evening. Far northwest Montana along the
Canadian border is the only area that looks like it could receive
light rain with this cold front.

Cooler conditions are forecast for mid-week, with temperatures
slowly increasing to near seasonal averages by the weekend. The
extended forecast continues to look dry, with no significant rain-
making systems expected.

&&

.AVIATION...Light and variable winds with mostly sunny skies will
continue today at all terminals. High density altitudes continue
during the afternoons, given the very warm temperatures expected
through the weekend, with Saturday being the hottest day of the
weekend.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...Fire Weather Watch from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening
     Deerlodge/West Beaverhead...East Beaverhead.

ID...&&

$$



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