Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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FXUS65 KREV 292138
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
238 PM PDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A few showers and thunderstorms remain possible into Monday
afternoon as high pressure slowly builds into Nevada. A significant
warming trend is on tap this week with high temperatures pushing
80 degrees in the Sierra and the mid 90s across some western
Nevada valleys. A return of thunderstorms is possible by next
weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Convection tried to get going early this afternoon, but it remains
capped. Warming aloft has resulted in only buildups and very light
showers. There is a weak wave aloft moving in early this evening
so left the threat for showers and thunderstorms. However, there
is a chance that nothing gets going at all.

Less of a threat for convection tomorrow with a little drying and
even warmer temps aloft. Still, a shower or storm could develop
over the Mono County crest. Anything that does form would move
southwest in the northeast upper level flow. Temperatures continue
to look a few degrees above normal for the holiday with light
winds.

Then the ridge moves over Nevada and strengthens Tuesday into
Friday. Well above average temperatures are expected with highs
reaching into the 90s for Western NV and lower valleys of NE CA and
near 80 in the Sierra Valleys. A little drier air with 500 mb
temps of -9 C will limit instability, but a few cumulus will occur
each afternoon into Thursday. By Friday, there may be enough low
level instability for isolated thunderstorms over Mono County into
the Pine Nuts.

Next weekend, an upper low is expected to slowly approach the
coast. Cooling temps aloft with a little more moisture will
increase the threat for thunderstorms next weekend. These storms
could also be stronger than what we have seen recently with
potentially more shear and instability. Wallmann

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail through Monday with light winds and dry
conditions for most terminals. A few isolated showers are possible
through early evening at KMMH and again Monday afternoon. Overall
chances for showers or storms at KMMH generally less than 15%
through Monday. VCSH possible for KTVL/KTRK but no precipitation
expected across all other Sierra and western Nevada terminals.
Fuentes

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/reno


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