Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS28 KWNS 032053
FWDD38

DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0353 PM CDT WED JUN 03 2015

VALID 051200Z - 111200Z

UPPER PATTERN AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD -- D3/FRI -- IS
EXPECTED TO BE CHARACTERIZED BY AN UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER SRN
CA...RIDGING ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS...AND WEAK TROUGHING ACROSS THE
ERN CONUS. SRN CA UPPER LOW WILL GRADUALLY TRACK NEWD TOWARDS THE
GREAT BASIN WHILE GRADUALLY DEAMPLIFYING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
RIDGE BUILDING ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW. BY D7/TUE...REMNANT OF THE SRN
CA LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE CNTRL ROCKIES WITH RIDGING OVER
MOST OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.

SRN CA UPPER LOW WILL HELP ADVECT AN ANOMALOUSLY MOIST AIRMASS INTO
THE SOUTHWEST AND ERN GREAT BASIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER SURGE
OF MOISTURE INTO THE SOUTHWEST IS POSSIBLE BY MID-WEEK IF THE
CURRENT TRACK OF HURRICANE BLANCA IS REALIZED. THIS INCREASED
MOISTURE AND POTENTIAL PRECIPITATION WILL KEEP THE FIRE WEATHER
THREAT VERY LOW ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

VERY WARM CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC
NW AS A RIDGE BUILDS ON D5/SUN THROUGH D7/TUE. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON LATE ON
D7/TUE WITH SOME POTENTIAL LIGHTNING ACTIVITY. HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING THE OVERALL FORECAST SCENARIO AS WELL AS THE RECEPTIVENESS
OF THE FUELS IS TOO HIGH FOR ANY TREAT AREAS WITH THIS FORECAST.

..MOSIER.. 06/03/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...




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