Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS22 KWNS 251731
FWDDY2

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

...SRN/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE LOW 70S -- 20 TO 30 DEGREES
ABOVE AVERAGE -- ACROSS THE CNTRL AND SRN HIGH PLAINS DURING THE
AFTERNOON...WITH RESULTANT RH VALUES FALLING BELOW 25 PERCENT.
LOCALIZED AREAS OF SUB-20 PERCENT RH VALUES ARE
POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY ACROSS SW NEB AND WRN KS WHERE GREATER
DOWNSLOPE EFFECTS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DRIER SURFACE CONDITIONS. THE
STRONGEST FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO BE A BIT FARTHER E /MID MO
VALLEY/ RESULTING IN A DISSOCIATION BETWEEN THE LOWEST RH VALUES AND
BEST MID/UPPER SUPPORT FOR STRONG SURFACE WINDS. CURRENT GUIDANCE
SUGGEST SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE AROUND 15 MPH WITH ISOLATED AREAS
REACHING 20 MPH. THESE CONDITIONS ARE CONSISTENT WITH A LOCALLY
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT BUT WIDESPREAD ELEVATED CONDITIONS ARE
NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...PRECLUDING THE NEED TO INTRODUCE ANY
THREAT DELINEATIONS WITH THIS UPDATE.

..MOSIER.. 01/25/2015

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0251 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015/

...SYNOPSIS...
THE OVERALL MID/UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN WILL REMAIN AMPLIFIED AS A STOUT
SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTS NE ALONG THE ERN SEABOARD AND RIDGING BUILDS
EAST TOWARDS THE PLAINS. ALONG THE WEST COAST...A TROUGH OF LOW PRES
WILL PROGRESS ONSHORE LATE IN THE PERIOD.

ACROSS THE SRN/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...NWLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL DEVELOP
AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRANSITS S/E FROM THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES/NRN
PLAINS TOWARDS THE MIDWEST. DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL AID IN TEMPS RISING
WELL ABOVE NORMAL...WITH MIN RH VALUES GENERALLY IN THE 20-30
PERCENT RANGE. WHILE LOCALIZED ELEVATED CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 15-20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON...LOW
RH/STRONG WINDS/RECEPTIVE FUELS ARE NOT LIKELY TO OVERLAP ON A
WIDESPREAD BASIS. AS SUCH...NO DELINEATION IS NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...



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