Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC

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AGUS74 KFWR 221540
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1040 AM CDT MON MAY 22 2017

                     VALID MAY 22 THROUGH MAY 27

           ...RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY...

                   ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

Organized thunderstorm activity over Southeast Texas will
continue to slide east.  One last reinforcing batch of energy
will come charging across the state, exiting the area Tuesday.
This feature will help scour the area, bringing an end to the
rain threat for the remainder of the week.

Severe weather is expected across portions of West Texas.

The upper level pattern will transition to a more zonal
flow by the end of the week.  Rain chances will return to the
WGRFC area by the end of the holiday weekend.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Tuesday morning, Mean Areal Precipitation (MAP)
amounts of 1 to 2 inches are forecast for the Upper Texas Coast.
MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inch are forecast for the remainder of
Texas and for portions of Eastern New Mexico.

For Tuesday into Wednesday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50
inch are forecast for most of Texas

For Wednesday into Thursday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Thursday into Saturday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inch
are forecast for Southern Colorado.

Soil moisture conditions continue to dry out over the parts of
Texas that have been missed by the most recent rainfall events.
The latest U.S. Drought Monitor for Texas shows the area considered
to be abnormally dry is up to 34%. However, only 6% of Texas was
experiencing moderate drought with 1% of the state is in severe
drought. In New Mexico, 18% of the state is experiencing abnormally
dry conditions with 7% of the state in the moderate drought category.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...WGRFC Basins...
Texas continues to receive much needed May rainfall.  Some localized
flooding is occurring from local runoff.  Additional light rainfall is
forecast across Texas in the next 2 days however no significant
flooding is forecast in the next 5 days.

              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/NWSWestGulf

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.weather.gov/wgrfc/wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org/reservoirs/statewide

WALLER


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