Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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ACUS48 KWNS 010819
SWOD48
SPC AC 010818

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0318 AM CDT FRI AUG 01 2014

VALID 041200Z - 091200Z

...DISCUSSION...
LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL REMAIN MOSTLY WEAK THROUGH THE UPCOMING
MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD.  MINOR TRANSITORY DISTURBANCES ARE EXPECTED TO
EMERGE ALONG THE NRN PERIPHERY OF WRN U.S. RIDGE THEN DIG SEWD
TOWARD BASE OF MEAN LONG-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE ERN CONUS.  WHILE
CONVECTION WILL UNDOUBTEDLY BE ASSOCIATED WITH EACH OF THESE
FEATURES...LARGE-SCALE FLOW DOES NOT APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  STEEPEST LAPSE RATES
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS.  AS A RESULT...MORE
ROBUST CONVECTION SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG ERN PLUME OF HIGHER
INSTABILITY WHERE WARM ADVECTION COULD ENHANCE CONVECTION.

..DARROW.. 08/01/2014


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