Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 262017
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
217 PM CST MON JAN 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS CLEARING OUT AS UPPER TROUGH PULLS OUT OF THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE LOW 40S IN THE EAST TO 50 IN THE
WEST. COOL TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 30 TO 35 RANGE.

THE NEXT SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE AREA WILL COME ON THURSDAY AS
ANOTHER TROUGH DIGS ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS. LIMITED MOISTURE
AGAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM AND 12Z TRENDS WERE A LITTLE WEAKER WITH THIS
ONE THAN PREVIOUS RUNS. LOWERED THE POPS TO SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING.

BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND ESPECIALLY BY MIDDLE OF THE WEEKEND...A
CUTOFF LOW WILL HAVE FORMED OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO/SOUTHERN ARIZONA.
PART OF THE ENERGY WITH THIS WILL BREAK OFF AND MERGE WITH ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE THAT COMES DOWN FROM WESTERN CANADA. THIS SYSTEM WILL
PICK UP SOME MOISTURE AND BRING A DECENT CHANCE FOR WIDE SPREAD
RAIN TO THE DEEP SOUTH. 12Z PROFILES ARE TOO WARM FOR SNOW WITH
THE SURFACE LOW TRACKING RIGHT THROUGH CENTRAL ALABAMA. DID RAISE
THE POPS A LITTLE BIT OVER THE WEEKEND.

NOTHING UNUSUAL ABOUT THE TEMPERATURES THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THURSDAY
LOOKS LIKE THE WARMEST DAY WITH MANY LOCATIONS REACH 60 TO 65 JUST
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES GENERALLY WITHIN A FEW
DEGREES OF CLIMATOLOGY.

88

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

MVFR CIGS CONTINUE LATE THIS MORNING...BUT WILL BE GRADUALLY
MIXING OUT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY. WINDS WILL BE THE
REMAINING IMPACT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH PREVAILING NORTHWEST
SURFACE WINDS OF 12 TO 14 KNOTS AND SOME GUSTS OVER 20 KNOTS AT
TIMES. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD...WITH SOME MID-LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE
NORTH LATER TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

56/GDG


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     31  49  28  51  33 /   0   0   0   0   0
ANNISTON    32  51  29  54  35 /   0   0   0   0   0
BIRMINGHAM  34  53  31  54  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
TUSCALOOSA  35  56  33  55  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
CALERA      34  54  32  54  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUBURN      34  54  32  53  37 /   0   0   0   0   0
MONTGOMERY  35  59  32  56  36 /   0   0   0   0   0
TROY        35  59  33  55  36 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$








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