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000
FXUS61 KCAR 041107
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
607 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS QUEBEC TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
6 AM UPDATE...AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW PERSIST ACROSS EASTERN AROOSTOOK
COUNTY WHERE A SURFACE TROUGH HAS BEEN SUPPORTING A CONTINUATION
OF PRECIPITATION. SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF ELSEWHERE. THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING ACROSS
EASTERN AROOSTOOK COUNTY BUT HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED ELSEWHERE.
SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF ACROSS THE NORTHEAST THIS MORNING.
THE REST OF THE DAY WILL BE CLOUDY TO PARTLY SUNNY, BREEZY AND
MILD.

THE SNOW WHICH MOVED THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT WILL CONTINUE
AWAY TO THE EAST TODAY AS AN OCCLUDED FRONT PUSHES EAST ACROSS THE
REGION. THE AIR BEHIND THE FRONT IS RELATIVELY MILD. TODAY WILL
TURN OUT PARTLY SUNNY AND BREEZY WITH HIGHS FROM THE MID 30S NORTH
TO NEAR 40 DOWNEAST. COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER INTO THE AREA
TONIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AS LOW PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC
TRACKS EAST AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS PUSHING INTO THE AREA.
LOWS BY MORNING WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE NORTH AND
TEENS DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION THURSDAY WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES...THEN CROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO MOVE SOUTHEAST FRIDAY
WITH MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS
LATER FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS THURSDAY/FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT
WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY...WITH
A COLD FRONT OR POSSIBLE WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING IS STILL
UNCERTAIN. THE COLD FRONT OR WEAK LOW COULD BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS OR LIGHT SNOW. LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF THE
REGION TUESDAY...DRAWING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION LATE.
EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: IFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS IN LOW CLOUDS AND SOME
LINGERING SNOW THIS MORNING WILL IMPROVE TO VFR LATE THIS MORNING.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY WITH
OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY FOR WEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO
30 KT AND TONIGHT FOR NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE
THEN POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FOR
MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY COULD BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT. LIGHT
FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
     MEZ002-005-006.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS