National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS64 KEWX 092024 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
324 PM CDT SUN MAR 9 2014

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
NEXT SHORT WAVE AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW OVER THE BAJA REGION WAS LIFTING
NNEWD ACROSS NE MEXICO AND INTO THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON.
ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS/STORMS TONIGHT ACROSS
THE CWA WITH BEST CHANCES OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS. THE CLOSED LOW BEGINS TO LIFT OUT FROM BAJA AND ACCELERATE
NEWD ACROSS S CENTRAL TEXAS ON MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT. CONTINUING GOOD
CHANCE SHOWERS/STORMS ACROSS CWA MONDAY...AND SHIFTING INTO THE
EASTERN CWA MONDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES EASTWARD.
MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH TIMING OF THE UPPER LOW AND BETTER
AGREEMENT WITH LOCATION WHICH IS TRENDING A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH...
WHICH WILL LEAVE THE NRN CWA WITH LOWER RAIN CHANCES/QPF. SHORT
TERM QPF AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 0.10-0.50 ACROSS THE NORTH TO
0.50-0.75 INCH ACROSS THE SOUTH WITH TOTALS NEAR ONE INCH
POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE A SUBTLE WARMING TRENDING OVER THE NEXT 36
HOURS AS CLOUDS PERSIST. HIGHS MONDAY SHOULD GET BACK INTO THE
60S MOST AREAS...EXCEPT 70 FAR NORTHEAST WHERE A FEW MORE BREAKS
DEVELOP IN THE CLOUD COVER.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
WITH THE UPPER LOW SKIRTING EAST AND RAIN ENDING...A SHORT WAVE RIDGE
WILL BUILDS INTO S TX ON TUESDAY. SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE WARM-DRY SWLY WINDS DEVELOP AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES REBOUND INTO THE 80S WEST TO UPPER 70S EAST. STILL
LOOKS LIKE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE SOUTHERN
EDWARDS PLATEAU/WESTERN HILL COUNTRY TUESDAY AFTERNOON MAINLY DUE
TO LOW HUMIDITIES. A STRONG DRY COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTHWARD INTO
S TX TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING...BRINGING COOLER-DRIER WINDY
CONDITIONS TO SOUTH TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY. HIGHS WEDNESDAY WILL BE
MUCH COOLER WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE 60S TO NEAR 60 NORTH. CLEAR AND
COLD WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH A FREEZE LIKELY FOR THE HILL COUNTRY AND
LOW SPOTS IN ADJACENT COUNTIES. A DRY ZONAL FLOW CAUSE THE COOL
SURFACE RIDGE TO MOVE QUICKLY EAST THURSDAY...WITH A WARMING TREND
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS MOIST SLY BREEZES RETURN OFF THE GULF.
APPEARS ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AGAIN OVER THE
FAR WEST ON THURSDAY BEFORE GULF HUMIDITY RETURNS AND SLY WINDS
INCREASE. A SHORT WAVE TROUGH DROPPING SEWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST
SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT THRU S TX SUNDAY.
HAVE INCLUDED SLIGHT CHANCES OF SHOWERS MOST OF THE CWA WITH THE
COLD FRONT AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              46  68  54  81  45 /  30  30  40  -   -
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  43  69  51  79  43 /  30  30  40  10  -
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     45  64  49  79  44 /  40  40  50  -   -
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            42  69  46  80  40 /  20  20  30  -   -
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           47  63  47  86  48 /  30  30  -    0  -
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        43  68  48  78  42 /  20  20  40  -   -
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             46  62  48  84  44 /  50  50  40   0  -
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        44  65  48  78  43 /  40  40  50  -   -
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   45  70  52  77  47 /  30  30  50  10  -
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       48  63  52  82  46 /  50  50  50  -   -
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           48  62  50  81  47 /  50  50  50  -   -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...12
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...01
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33