Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FXUS64 KEWX 100008 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
608 PM CST TUE FEB 9 2016

.UPDATE...
PLEASE SEE THE 00Z AVIATION FORECAST DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT AREA TAF SITES THROUGH THE CURRENT
FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN EITHER LIGHT AND NORTHWESTERLY
OR LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE REGION. SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL THEN DEVELOP BY LATE TOMORROW MORNING OR EARLY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. WITH PLENTY OF DRY AIR IN PLACE...CLEAR SKIES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 256 PM CST TUE FEB 9 2016/

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)...
ANOTHER CLEAR NIGHT IS IN STORE FOR THE AREA TONIGHT WITH
A WARNING TREND EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY
TO NEAR 40 ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE AND COASTAL PLAINS. THE RETURN OF
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WILL RESULT
IN MAX TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S TO NEAR 80.

LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
BY THURSDAY...DRY AND WARMER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S MOST AREAS TO
LOWER 80S ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE. BY THE EVENING HOURS...A WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO PUSH OVER THE HILL COUNTRY
ACCORDING TO GFS GUIDANCE. THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN SOLUTIONS KEEP
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO THE NORTH OF THE HILL COUNTRY AND MAINTAIN
THE BOUNDARY THERE FOR THE NEXT 30 HOURS. SHOWED A COMPROMISE
SOLUTION FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE AND BRING THE A SLIGHTLY WIND
SHIFT ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE HILL COUNTRY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS DOMINATING THE ENTIRE AREA BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AS THE WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY DISSIPATES.

EXPECT CLOUDS TO INCREASE FRIDAY INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH
WARMER TEMPERATURES OUT WEST VERSUS SLIGHTLY COOLER OVER THE
EASTERN COUNTIES DUE TO CLOUD COVERAGE. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE
LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-35
CORRIDOR AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE AREA. DRY WEATHER
CONDITIONS RETURN TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK WITH MAX TEMPS BACK TO THE
UPPER MID AND UPPER 70S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              38  76  51  79  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  38  75  45  78  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     38  76  46  79  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            38  75  47  78  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           40  79  45  82  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        39  74  48  78  47 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             39  78  43  80  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        38  75  45  77  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   39  73  49  78  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       39  77  48  77  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           40  77  46  80  49 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...24
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...OAKS
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...33


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