Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FXUS62 KFFC 230525
AFDFFC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
125 AM EDT SAT MAY 23 2015



.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1031 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015/

UPDATE...

CURRENT FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO CHANGES ARE PLANNED.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 737 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 PM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015/

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
QUIET AND PLEASANT FORECAST ON TAP FOR THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. SFC HIGH
WILL SLIDE EASTWARD OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY TOMORROW RESULTING
IN A MORE EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY FETCH...THOUGH THERMAL PROFILES STAY
DRY ASIDE FROM PERHAPS A FEW DIURNALLY DRIVEN CU. TEMPS WILL
INITIALLY BE COOL AGAIN TONIGHT /ABOUT 5-7 DEGREES BELOW NORM/ THEN
MODERATE BACK TO NEAR NORMAL SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE
UPPER RIDGE IS PROGGED TO AMPLIFY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CONUS. THE
RIDGE AXIS AND ENHANCED MOISTURE STAYS WEST OF THE AREA ALLOWING FOR
THIS ATYPICALLY NICE LATE MAY PERIOD.

BAKER

LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER FL SUNDAY AM COMBINED WITH SURFACE
RIDGE OFF THE NC COAST WILL KEEP THINGS MOSTLY DRY ON SUNDAY.
TEMPS STILL RUNNING SLIGHTLY BELOW CLIMO.

MEMORIAL DAY THRU TUESDAY.
BY EARLY MONDAY...BOTH SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHIFT
FURTHER EAST ALLOWING FOR MORE OF A SOUTHERLY FETCH OFF OF THE
GULF BY MONDAY. MODELS HAVE TRENDED UPWARD IN TERMS OF POP CHANCES
BY MONDAY AS A RESULT. GFS IS A LITTLE MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH ITS
COVERAGE VS THE ECMWF FOR MONDAY EVEN THOUGH THE GENERAL PATTERN
IS SIMILAR BUT BOTH REMAIN IN THE HIGH END CHANCE CATEGORY FOR
NOW. DONT BELIEVE IT WILL BE A RAIN OUT BUT FOLKS WILL NEED TO
MONITOR THE RADAR ON MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR MORE OF THE SCATTERED
AFTERNOON CONVECTION WHICH LOOKS TO PERSIST EACH DAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.

WED THRU FRIDAY.
FOR NOW...BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY HAVE THE BEST
CHANCES OF AFTERNOON COVERAGE BUT HEIGHT RISES ENSUE WED THROUGH
FRIDAY THUS REDUCING OVERALL COVERAGE BACK TO NEAR CLIMO. TEMPS
THROUGH THE PERIOD SHOULD BE VERY NEAR CLIMO WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS
NEXT WEEK CREEPING SLIGHTLY ABOVE CLIMO IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 80S.

30


&&

.AVIATION...
06Z UPDATE...
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. EAST WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO AROUND 15KT DURING PEAK HEATING THIS
AFTERNOON.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL ELEMENTS.



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          83  56  83  64 /   0   5   5  10
ATLANTA         81  62  82  67 /   0   5  10  10
BLAIRSVILLE     77  55  77  60 /   0   0   5  10
CARTERSVILLE    83  59  83  66 /   0   0  10  10
COLUMBUS        85  64  86  69 /   0   5  10  10
GAINESVILLE     80  57  80  64 /   0   0   5  10
MACON           85  60  86  66 /   0   0  10  10
ROME            83  57  83  66 /   0   0   5  10
PEACHTREE CITY  82  57  83  66 /   0   0  10  10
VIDALIA         86  63  86  66 /   0   5  10  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...
AVIATION...


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