Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 230940
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
440 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
PATCHES OF DRIZZLE BEING REPORTED AT A FEW OF THE STATIONS UNDER
THE SERPENTINE RADAR BAND STRETCHING FROM EWX INTO THE NWRN POR-
TIONS OF OUR CWA. GIVEN THE OVERALL WEAKENING TREND WITH THIS DZ
WILL LIKELY LEAVE ANY MENTION OUT OF OUR FCST ATTM. OTHERWISE NO
REAL CHANGES WITH THE FCST THRU THE REST OF THE WEEK. THIS MILD/
DRY AIRMASS OVER THE REGION NOT EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY MODIFY
UNTIL LATE THIS WEEKEND WITH THE RETURN OF ONSHORE WINDS. WARMER
TEMPS/SLOWLY INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE STARTING AOA SUN THRU
THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. EXTENDED GUIDANCE STILL NOT IN VERY
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING/STRENGTH OF THIS NEXT COLD FRONT.
HAVE OPTED TO WITH SOMETHING IN BETWEEN THE FASTER ECMWF AND THE
SLOWER GFS FOR NOW. 41

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. SOME PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE AT UTS/CXO/LBX THIS MORNING BUT SHOULD
BE MINOR IMPACTS. UPPER SPEED MAX (90KTS) CAN BE TRACKED FROM AROUND
JCT TO GGG AND APPEARS TO BE PROVIDING WEAK LIFT FROM NEAR SAT TO
CLL WITH SOME SPRINKLES/-RA/DZ BUT WITH VERY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS
MAINLY BACK NEAR SAT. DON`T EXPECT ANY PRECIP OF SIGNIFICANCE AT
CLL/IAH AREAS BUT THIS ENTRANCE REGION WILL CERTAINLY AID THE
DEVELOPMENT OF MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS. LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS
AGAIN BECOMING A LITTLE MORE EASTERLY BY LATE AFTERNOON...THE COLD
FRONT WHAT IS LEFT OF IT MAY REACH THE COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY.
45

&&

.MARINE...
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL AGAIN TODAY THOUGH ONLY IN THE 10-15
KNOTS RANGE...SEAS ALSO LOWER AT 2-4 FEET. HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS
ACROSS SETX/LA THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE SAGGING SOUTHEASTWARD
TOWARD NEW ORLEANS WHICH IN TURNS SWINGS WINDS TO THE SOUTHEAST
SUNDAY. ONSHORE FLOW STRENGTHENS AND SCECS MAY BE NEEDED ON MONDAY
AND MONDAY NIGHT. COLD FRONT WORKS SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY AND MAY SLOW
OR STALL IN SETX BUT AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EASTWARD THE WINDS
BACK TO THE EAST.
45

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      83  62  85  62  86 /  10  10  10  10   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              83  61  83  61  85 /   0  10  10  10   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            81  70  81  70  79 /   0  10  10  10   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$



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