Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 250154
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
954 PM EDT THU APR 24 2014

.UPDATE...
SEABREEZES FROM BOTH SIDES OF THE PENINSULA WERE ONLY ABLE TO
GENERATE A FEW ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS TODAY. THE LAST OF THESE
SHOWERS RECENTLY DEVELOPED OVER WARE COUNTY AFTER THE TWO
SEABREEZES COLLIDED. THIS SHOWER AS WELL AS A ROGUE SHOWER OVER
THE SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH AND NO
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT. THE STRONG
SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AND VERY DRY AIR ALOFT...PER THE 0Z JAX
SOUNDING...AGAIN TELLS THE STORY AS TO WHY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WAS
SO SUPPRESSED TODAY. LOW STRATUS AND FOG WILL AGAIN PUSH INLAND
FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO AFTER MIDNIGHT. WILL MAINTAIN INHERITED
FORECAST OF PATCHY DENSE FOG MAINLY WEST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR
SINCE THE LATEST HRRR/NARRE DATA IS FAVORING MORE STRATUS THAN
FOG. OVERNIGHT TEMPS LOOK GOOD AND NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED.

&&

.AVIATION...
PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INLAND TONIGHT...BUT WITH WINDS
ABOVE THE SURFACE INCREASING TOWARDS SUNRISE...EXPECT LOW STRATUS
INSTEAD OF LOW VISIBILITIES. WILL GO WITH 3-5SM AT GNV AND VQQ BUT
INCLUDE LIFR CIGS AT GNV AFTER 10Z. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SE
ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE DRY WITH
A PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
WATERS ARE QUIESCENT THIS EVENING WITH WINDS GENERALLY SE TO S 10
KTS OR LESS. SEAS ARE RUNNING 1-2 FT. A BROAD HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL MOVE EAST OF THE REGION ON FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
FROM THE WEST. THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES
AREA WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  60  85  59  85 /  20  10  10   0
SSI  64  82  64  79 /  10  10  10   0
JAX  63  85  60  84 /  10  10  10  10
SGJ  65  84  63  80 /  10  10  10  10
GNV  60  85  62  86 /  20   0  10  10
OCF  60  85  60  87 /  20   0  10  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SHULER/TRABERT/WALKER







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