Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 011300
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
900 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2015

.UPDATE...

NEAR TERM MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A STRENGTHENING WAVE DEVELOPING
JUST WEST OF REGION TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUED STREAM
OF MOISTURE NORTHEAST INTO NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA.
THEREFORE...FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FOR INTERIOR FLORIDA
COUNTIES.

THE QUESTION FOR THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE HOW FAR EAST
THIS MOISTURE WILL EXTEND. LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT MUCH OF
THIS MOISTURE WILL BE CONFINED TO INTERIOR SECTIONS...WITH AREAS
FURTHER EAST AND NORTH EXPERIENCING MORE DIURNALLY DRIVEN
CONVECTION...WHERE THE SUN BREAKS THROUGH CLOUD COVER. SO...HAVE
TRIMMED PRECIPITATION CHANCES BACK OVER COASTAL FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

TEMPERATURES WILL TREND A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL THIS AFTERNOON...DUE
TO EXPECTED CLOUD AND PRECIPITATION COVERAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...

MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF TODAY...WITH DIURNAL
CONTRIBUTIONS LEADING TO AFTERNOON CONVECTION.

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  91  74  93  73 /  50  30  40  30
SSI  86  77  88  77 /  60  50  60  40
JAX  87  75  89  74 /  60  50  60  50
SGJ  87  75  87  76 /  60  50  60  40
GNV  86  74  87  74 /  80  60  60  50
OCF  85  74  87  74 /  90  60  60  50

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR ALACHUA-COLUMBIA-
     GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-SUWANNEE.

GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

STRUBLE


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