Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 012328
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
628 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014

.UPDATE...FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.AVIATION...00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD
BUT AN APPROACHING WEAK FRONT WILL BRING THE CHANCE OF SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY MORNING FOR KCKV. WHILE TS/RA
MAY REACH KBNA AND KCSV...IT LIKELY WON`T BE UNTIL TUESDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING. AS WE NEAR THE 10Z HOUR...LOWER CIGS WILL
APPROACH THE TN-KY STATE LINE...AND CIGS SHOULD FALL INTO IFR TO
MVFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES BY 13Z. SOME IMPROVEMENT WILL BE SEEN BY
LATE MORNING...BUT AT LEAST MVFR WILL LIKELY STICK AROUND THROUGH
17Z. WEAK FRONT SHOULD MAKE IT INTO KBNA BY 21Z WITH TS IN TOW.

WINDS WILL RELAX TONIGHT AND SHOULD BE LIGHT OUT OF THE WSW FOR
THE MOST PART TUESDAY.  SOME STRONGER GUSTS MAY COME WITH ANY TS.

UNGER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 352 PM CDT MON SEP 1 2014/

SHORT TERM...IT WAS PARTLY CLOUDY AND SEASONABLY WARM ACROSS THE
MID STATE THIS AFTERNOON, WITH VERY LITTLE SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY.

STILL LOOKS LIKE A SHORTWAVE WILL INCREASE OUR CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY AND HAVE ACTUALLY GONE
WITH A SWATCH OF LIKELY POPS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTH ON TUESDAY,
WHERE WEAK LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY, COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF ATMOSPHERIC
MOISTURE AND DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD COMBINE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.

AFTER THAT SHORTWAVE PASSES ON TUESDAY, EXPECT A RETURN TO TYPICAL
SUMMERTIME WEATHER MID TO LATE WEEK, WITH THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING
MAINLY OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING VARIETY.

LONG TERM...THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS INCREASES AGAIN NEXT
WEEKEND AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE PUSHES INTO THE AREA. RIGHT NOW IT
LOOKS LIKE THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK SOME LOWER DEW POINTS FILTER
SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA, AS A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AREA MOVES
EASTWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES AREA TO THE EASTERN SEABOARD. WE
COULD BE LOOKING AT LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S BY MONDAY
MORNING.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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