Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 220828
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
328 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW CONTINUING TO SPIN ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH NEAR THE FL
PANHANDLE THIS MORNING. PERSISTENT UPPER DIVERGENCE HAS HELPED TO
PROLONG THE NOCTURNAL SHOWER ACTIVITY TO THE EAST OF THE LOW. ACROSS
MIDDLE TN...BROKEN CLOUDINESS STILL PERSISTS ACROSS OUR SOUTHEASTERN
COUNTIES WITH PCLDY SKIES ELSEWHERE.

OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...UPPER TROUGHING TO EXPAND ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES REGION WITH UPPER LEVEL HIGH EXPANSION ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
U.S.. THE PATTERN OVER THE MID STATE WILL THEN MORPH INTO MORE OF A
ROBUST NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. IN FACT...A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE
ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
TSTMS. THE BOUNDARY LOOKS AS THOUGH IT WILL MAKE IT JUST SOUTH OF TN
BY THURSDAY.

SO FOR THE FCST...LOW CONVECTION CHANCES FOR TODAY AS THE WEAKENING
UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO EXERT SOME INFLUENCE ACROSS THE AREA. POPS
WILL INCREASE WED AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. FOR THE NEAR TERM
TEMPS...QUITE WARM TODAY AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AS HEIGHTS
INCREASE...COMPLIMENTS OF THE STRENGTHENING UPPER RIDGE TO OUR WEST.
WE`LL COOL THINGS OFF BY THURSDAY BEHIND THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL
PASSAGE.

IN THE EXT FCST...NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PERIOD. ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL IMPACT THE AREA ON
SUNDAY WITH WHAT LOOKS LIKE A DESCENT SHOT OF RAIN. FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL PUSH SOUTH OF THE MID STATE ON MONDAY WITH A DEEPENING UPPER
TROUGH INDICATED ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S..

FOR THE EXT TEMPS...WARM AGAIN THIS WEEKEND IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT
COLD FRONT. SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPS WILL RETURN BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK. DEWPOINTS ARE LOOKING VERY PLEASANT FOR LATE JULY.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      93  73  93  69 /  20  10  40  60
CLARKSVILLE    93  69  92  66 /  20  10  40  60
CROSSVILLE     86  67  88  66 /  40  20  50  60
COLUMBIA       92  71  93  70 /  30  20  40  60
LAWRENCEBURG   90  69  92  70 /  30  20  40  60
WAVERLY        92  70  92  67 /  20  10  40  60

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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