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000
FXUS64 KOHX 222010
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
310 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

.DISCUSSION...

PLEASE REFERENCE OUR MESOSCALE AFD ISSUED AT 205 PM FOR THE LATEST
THOUGHTS ON CONVECTIVE TRENDS THRU THIS EVENING.

EXPECT PRECIP CVRG TO DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING..WITH
MOST SHOWERS ENDING ON THE PLATEAU BEFORE DAYBREAK. ANOTHER WAVE
WILL CLIP JUST NORTH OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY WHICH MAY HELP DRIVE
SOME DIURNAL CONVECTION WITH THE BEST CHC NE SXNS. MAV TEMPS LOOK
GOOD THRU THE PERIOD.

COOL HIPRES THEN EXPECTED TO BUILD IN FOR FRIDAY AS AN OVERALL
DEEP RIDGING IN THE ATMOS BEGINS. MOST AREAS WILL STRUGGLE TO
REACH 70 WITH A FRESH NNE BREEZE. VERY COOL READINGS AS WINDS GO
CALM FRI NGT. A FEW NORMALLY COOL SPOTS WILL REACH THE U30S WITH
MOST OF MIDDLE TN BOTTOMING OUT IN THE 40S.

WILL MAINTAIN DRY FCST FOR MUCH OF THE WEEKEND AS UPPER LVL RIDGE
STRENGTHENS. OF CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THE EURO WHICH HAS
ADVERTISED NW FLOW CONVECTION IMPACTING MUCH OF THE AREA THRU THE
WEEKEND. TO MAINTAIN FCST CONTINUITY AND COORDINATION WE WILL
MAINTAIN A DRY FCST AND CONTINUE TO MONITOR CLOSELY. NEW GUIDANCE
TEMPS IN LINE WITH PREV FCST RIGHT THRU THE WEEKEND AND LITTLE CHG
WAS MADE.

RIDGING CONTINUES/STRENGTHENS NEXT WEEK WITH A STEADY WARMUP
SLATED FOR OUR APPROACH TO METEOROLOGICAL SUMMER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      61  79  52  71 /  30  20  10  05
CLARKSVILLE    58  77  49  70 /  20  20  10  05
CROSSVILLE     59  74  51  66 /  60  30  20   0
COLUMBIA       61  81  54  72 /  20  20  10  05
LAWRENCEBURG   60  81  55  73 /  20  20  10  05
WAVERLY        59  78  50  71 /  20  20  10  05

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

JOHNSTONE