Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS61 KPBZ 171022
AFDPBZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
622 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES
INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
ONLY CHANGES NEEDED FOR THE PREDAWN UPDATE WERE TWEAKS TO HOURLY
TRENDS OF TEMPS AND WIND.

PREVIOUS...
A COMBINATION OF A SURFACE HIGH TO OUR EAST AND RISING HEIGHTS
ALOFT...WILL ALLOW FOR PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND MODERATING
TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
A MOISTURE STARVED COOL FRONT AND SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL SWING
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MODEL CONTINUE TO TREND DOWNWARD ON
PRECIP CHANCES. MAIN UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WITHIN THE HEIGHT FALLS
SHIFTS WELL NORTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING. MOISTURE AT THE
LOWEST LAYERS IS SPARSE AND THE SURFACE BOUNDARY LOSES MUCH OF ITS
STRUCTURE WITH LITTLE SUPPORT. HAVE DECIDED TO KEEP THE AREA DRY
WITH THIS FEATURE. TEMPS CONTINUE TO MODERATE FRIDAY.

A BIT OF A COOL DOWN FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...AS WEAK CAA WILL
TAKE PLACE BEHIND THE COOL FRONT. SURFACE HIGH WILL BUILD IN
QUICKLY ON SATURDAY...KEEPING THE AREA DRY WITH PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A DRY AND WARM PATTERN EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE LONG TERM. A
WEAK COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING THE RISK
FOR SHOWERS TUESDAY. A BIT OF A COOL DOWN BY THE END OF THE LONG
TERM.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
ALTHOUGH VFR WL CONT FOR THE TAF PD...NEW ENGLAND HIGH AND WRN GREAT
LAKES LOW WL SPPRT SUSTAINED SELY SFC WIND NR 10 KTS TDA.

.OUTLOOK.../FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
GENL IFR IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

$$

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