Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS62 KTAE 252338
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
738 PM EDT Sat Oct 25 2014

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...

The 7 pm EDT regional surface analysis showed an area of high
pressure centered along the TX coast, with a ridge nosing to its
east along the Gulf Coast. With calm to light winds, clear skies,
and a dry airmass, temperatures will fall to below average across
much of the region (away from the beaches and cities). Lows will
be in the upper 40s, but only in the 50s at the beaches and
cities.

&&

.Aviation...

[Through 00Z Sunday] Other than a brief period of blowing sand at
KDHN this evening, we expect generally unrestricted Vis and
unlimited cigs through Sunday night. Winds will be light out of
the N to NW, becoming W near 10 KT at KECP Sunday afternoon.

&&

.Prev Discussion [315 PM EDT]...

.Short Term [Sunday Through Monday Night]...
Stacked high pressure will move across the area through the short
term period. With clear skies and weak winds, temperatures will warm
to the mid 80s during the day Sunday and Monday, dipping into the
low 50s Sunday night, mid 50s Monday night.


.Long Term [Tuesday Through Saturday]...
As the stacked high pressure moves off of the east coast, an
approaching trough will help push through our next cold front on
Wednesday. This next system will have very little energy and will
likely only bring us rain with higher chances for our northern
zones. Highs will be in the 80s with lows in the mid 50s to around
60 Tuesday and Wednesday. After the front moves through, highs will
be in the 70s and lows will be in the upper 40s to low 50s. By the
weekend, a shortwave trough aloft will push an even colder airmass
south. Highs on Saturday may be in the upper 60s to low 70s.


.Marine...
High pressure over the southeast will mean weak winds and low seas
through the weekend. Winds will shift to the south and increase
ahead of our next cold front on Wednesday, but remain below headline
criteria. Winds will shift to north and increase in the wake of the
cold front, possibly approaching advisory conditions next weekend.


.Fire Weather...
Fair, dry, and mild weather will continue through Tuesday. However,
it will not be dry enough to meet local Red Flag Warning criteria.


.Hydrology...
Out area rivers are well below flood stage and no flooding is
expected. Our next chance for rain will be Wednesday, but rainfall
totals are expected to be below 0.5".

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   48  84  52  86  55 /   0   0   0   0  10
Panama City   57  81  61  82  64 /   0   0   0   0  10
Dothan        49  84  54  84  57 /   0   0   0   0  10
Albany        50  85  53  86  56 /   0   0   0   0  10
Valdosta      49  84  52  85  55 /   0   0   0   0  10
Cross City    47  83  51  86  55 /   0   0   0   0  10
Apalachicola  55  79  60  81  63 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.TAE Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...FOURNIER
SHORT TERM...MOORE
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...FOURNIER
MARINE...MOORE
FIRE WEATHER...FOURNIER
HYDROLOGY...MOORE








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