Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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FXUS65 KTWC 080341
AFDTWC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
841 PM MST Wed Dec 7 2016

SYNOPSIS...Remnant cloud coverage will decrease overnight as a
weak system passes by resulting in a sunny skies and near normal
temperatures for Thursday. Then mostly clear, dry and warmer than
normal weather is forecast Friday well into next week.

&&

DISCUSSION...Latest WV satellite imagery is depicting a west to
northwesterly flow aloft across Arizona with a weak disturbance
now across southwest Arizona. This resulted in the considerable
mainly mid and high level clouds earlier today, with the bulk of
the clouds now starting to push to the east away from our forecast
area. IR satellite still shows some clouds upstream into southeast
California with much less cloud coverage further upstream. Thus,
the current thinking of decreasing clouds overnight from west to
east continues to look good. Thereafter, a prolonged quiet
weather pattern with a progressive dry west to northwest flow with
any significant weather staying well to our north. Expect daytime
temperatures to warm to well above normal levels by this weekend
into early next week. Current forecast looks good. No updates this
evening.

&&

AVIATION...Valid through 09/06Z.
SCT-BKN clouds AOA 15k ft with scattered clouds 5-7k ft this
evening. Clouds will clear from west to east aft 08/05z with
mostly clear skies areawide aft 08/10z. Light and variable winds this
evening then easterly 5-13 kts Thursday afternoon. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

FIRE WEATHER...Decreasing cloud coverage overnight as a weak
system passes by. Beyond that high and dry with gradually warming
temperatures and generally light winds well into next week.
Humidity levels will be near normal with valley dew points mostly
in the 30s.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...GL
AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...Cerniglia/GL

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