Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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756
FNUS28 KWNS 252120
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0420 PM CDT Thu May 25 2017

Valid 271200Z - 021200Z

A positively tilted, mid-level trough across the West will quickly
move east early in the forecast period. This may result in
elevated-to-critical fire-weather concerns across southeast Arizona
and southern New Mexico on Saturday (Day 3). In the wake of this
trough, a large-scale ridge is expected to develop across the West.
This ridge will displace the stronger mid-level flow well north of
the dry airmass across the Southwest. By mid-late week, medium range
guidance differs with the GFS suggesting a potential ridge break
down, whereas the ECMWF undercuts the ridge. This uncertainty
results in predictability too low to highlight any fire-weather
concerns.

..Marsh.. 05/25/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$



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