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FNUS28 KWNS 191943
FWDD38

DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0242 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

VALID 211200Z - 271200Z

...D4/WED - D8/SUN: SOUTHWEST...
UPPER TROUGH...CENTERED OVER WRN PORTIONS OF THE NRN PLAINS AT THE
BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD...WILL SLOWLY TRANSLATE EWD AS A DEEP UPPER
LOW MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC NW. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
THE PLAINS...IMPEDING THE PROGRESS OF THE PACIFIC NW UPPER LOW
THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THE RESULT IS A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
ENHANCED MID-LEVEL SWLY FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST WHERE A VERY DRY
AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE. AS A RESULT...MARGINAL PROBABILITIES
EXTEND FROM D4/WED THROUGH D8/SUN ACROSS THE REGION. UNCERTAINTY
REMAINS REGARDING THE LOCATIONS WHERE CRITICAL CRITERIA WILL BE MET
BUT CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AND
UPGRADES/REFINEMENTS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED IN FUTURE OUTLOOKS.
CONFIDENCE WAS HIGH ENOUGH TO OUTLINE A CRITICAL AREA ACROSS NWRN AZ
AND SRN NV ON D4/WED WHERE SWLY WINDS AROUND 25-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED AMIDST A DEEPLY MIXED AND WARM ENVIRONMENT.

..MOSIER.. 05/19/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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