Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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000
FNUS21 KWNS 230821
FWDDY1

DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0321 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
A MIDLEVEL CYCLONE CURRENTLY POSITIONED OVER THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST
WILL PROGRESS SEWD AND THEN EWD TODAY...EVENTUALLY REACHING THE NRN
HIGH PLAINS BY EARLY SUN MORNING. AN ACCOMPANYING BELT OF MODERATELY
STRONG CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE MIDDLE LATITUDES
OF THE WRN/CNTRL CONUS...AIDING IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LEE SFC
CYCLONE AND TROUGH FROM CNTRL SD INTO WRN KS. DRY TSTM POTENTIAL
WILL BE LOW OVER THE CONUS.

...WRN OK...FAR ERN TX PANHANDLE...
STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL SLYS AIDED BY A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL SUPPORT INCREASING WIND SPEEDS TO 15-20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS PARTS OF THE SRN PLAINS. SFC OBSERVATIONS FROM THIS MORNING
SHOW SFC DEW POINTS IN THE 40S OVER SWRN OK. AS TEMPERATURES HEAT TO
NEAR 100 F THIS AFTERNOON AMIDST DEEP BOUNDARY-LAYER MIXING...RH
VALUES ARE LIKELY TO FALL TO 15-20 PERCENT. A LACK OF PRECIPITATION
HAS BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE PAST COUPLE WEEKS...AND WITH LONGER-TERM
DROUGHT PERSISTING...AN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER RISK APPEARS PROBABLE.

..ROGERS.. 08/23/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...




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