Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS West Gulf RFC

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AGUS74 KFWR 261659
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1059 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

                VALID NOVEMBER 26 THROUGH DECEMBER 1

     ...MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

                   ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
The northwesterly flow aloft will keep things cool and dry through
the Thanksgiving Holiday.  By Friday, the upper level pattern will
become more zonal, allowing for a gradual warming trend through the
weekend.

Low level southerly winds will return.  Significant rainfall is not
expected as the airmass will remain fairly dry, with the exception of
far East Texas.

The next best chance for significant precipitation is maybe Tuesday,
but maybe Friday of next week, beyond the scope of this forecast.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Thursday morning, no significant Mean Areal
Precipitation (MAP) amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Thursday into Friday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Friday into Saturday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Saturday into Monday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

Moderate or worse drought conditions continue to be observed over
parts of New Mexico and Texas.  In Texas, about half the state is
experiencing moderate or worse drought (44%) and 10% has extreme to
exceptional drought. In New Mexico, nearly two thirds of the state is
experiencing moderate or worse drought (63%) and 2% has extreme to
exceptional drought. No doubt the rainfall which fell this past
weekend was heavy enough to put a small dent in the drought, but
likely did not eliminate these conditions.  With minimal rainfall
forecast the next 5 days, no new or additional runoff will occur.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
All rivers are expected to remain at seasonal flows through the
forecast period.

              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.WGRFC.gov

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org

WALLER


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