Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 041833
HMDMSR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1233 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015

...PRECIPITATION...

GENERALLY 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW FELL OVER THE SOUTHEAST THREE
QUARTERS OF MINNESOTA...ALL OF WISCONSIN AND MICHIGAN.  LIQUID
TOTALS WERE MOSTLY LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH...WITH THE HEAVIER
AMOUNTS OF 0.2 TO 0.4 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF LOWER
MICHIGAN.  UP TO .72 INCH FELL AROUND GRAND RAPIDS MI. FURTHER
SOUTH..LIGHT RAIN FELL OVER INDIANA...ILLINOIS AND EASTERN
MISSOURI.  SCATTERED LIGHT PRECIPITATION...WITH AMOUNTS LESS THAN
A TENTH...FELL OVER IOWA.  THE SOUTHERN QUARTER OF ILLINOIS SAW
PRECIPITATION TOTALS IN THE QUARTER TO HALF INCH RANGE..WITH
HEAVIEST RAINFALL OF OVER 2 INCHES FALLING ALONG THE OHIO
RIVER...JUST SOUTH OF THE NCRFC FORECAST AREA.

DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...SNOW OR FREEZING RAIN IS FORECAST SOUTH
OF I-70 IN ILLINOIS AND MISSOURI.  THE HEAVIEST SNOW...WITH LIQUID
AMOUNTS OF A QUARTER TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH IS FORECAST FOR
THE FAR SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE NCRFC FORECAST AREA...IN THE BIG
MUDDY RIVER BASIN OF ILLINOIS. MUCH HEAVIER RAIN IS FORECAST
FURTHER SOUTH.  LIGHT SNOW IS FORECAST FOR THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
AREAS OF UPPER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN.

THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL ENDURE A COUPLE MORE DAYS OF JANUARY LIKE
TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS TODAY RANGING FROM NEAR ZERO IN NORTH
DAKOTA TO AROUND 30 IN FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.  OVERNIGHT LOWS
THURSDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE TEENS IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS TO
ZERO TO 10 BELOW OVER IOWA AND 10 BELOW TO 20 BELOW OVER MINNESOTA
AND NORTH DAKOTA.  TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY WARM THOUGH AND HIGHS
FRIDAY MAY EXCEED 32 DEGREES OVER MOST OF THE NCRFC FORECAST AREA
OTHER THAN MICHIGAN.  BY MONDAY MANY AREAS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS
AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL SEE HIGHS IN THE 40S.  NO MAJOR
COLD SNAP IS FORESEEN BETWEEN THEN AND MID MARCH WITH TEMPERATURES
FINALLY REMAINING NEAR NORMAL.


...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...

NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING WAS OCCURRING OR IS EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST
THE NEXT 7 DAYS IN THE NCRFC AREA.  FORECAST TEMPERATURES OVER THE
NEXT MONTH CONTINUE TO BE FAVORABLE FOR ICE JAM DEVELOPMENT.  ICE
JAMS CAN FORM WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING AND CAN CAUSE RIVER LEVELS
TO RAPIDLY RISE.  IN THE EVENT THAT YOU OBSERVE FLOODING AS A
RESULT OF AN ICE JAM... PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL WEATHER FORECAST
OFFICE SO THE PUBLIC CAN BE WARNED.

NCRFC`S SPRING HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK WILL BE UPDATED THIS AFTERNOON.
THE LATEST OUTLOOK CAN BE VIEWED AT:
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/NCRFC/?N=SPROUTLOOKCURRENT

CURRENTLY CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR A QUIET SPRING IN
REGARDS TO WINTER SNOWMELT FLOODING.  PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN BELOW
AVERAGE FOR MUCH OF NCRFC`S AREA THE PAST 90 DAYS.  MUCH OF THE
AREA ONLY RECEIVED 25-75 PERCENT OF THE MEAN PRECIPITATION IN THE
PAST 30 DAYS.

FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER
FORECASTS...PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC
WEB PAGE AT:     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC


EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST: SAS JDT LNE

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.

$$

...LNE/JDT...




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