Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center

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AGUS73 KMSR 081830
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HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1230 AM CST SAT MAR 8 2014

...PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURES...

IN THE PAST 24 HOURS...A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION FELL ACROSS
ALMOST THE ENTIRE NCRFC AREA...BUT AMOUNTS WERE VERY LIGHT...
GENERALLY A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS. THE EXCEPTION WAS IN THE
UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN WHERE 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW FELL
ADDING ANOTHER 2 TO 4 TENTHS OF AN INCH.OF WATER EQUIVALENT TO
THE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS THAT ARE ALREADY THERE.

IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...JUST LIGHT PRECIPITATION AGAIN...THIS TIME
ALONG OUR SOUTHERN AND EASTERN BORDERS.

TEMPERATURES COOLED DOWN A BIT OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS...BUT ARE
EXPECTED TO WARM UP AGAIN TOMORROW GIVING US DAYTIME HIGHS ABOVE
FREEZING...ON AND OFF...OVER MUCH OF THE REGION OVER THE NEXT
5 DAYS OR SO. UNFORTUNATELY THOUGH...THE 6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK HAS
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO THE REGION....ESPECIALLY
IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE NCRFC AREA.


...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...

THE ONLY CURRENT FLOODING IS ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER FROM HAVANA TO
BEARDSTOWN IS CURRENTLY IN THE MINOR FLOODING CATEGORY AND IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RECEDE.

IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO MELT THE
NCRFC SNOW PACKS SOMEWHAT. IN THE MID REGION AROUND IOWA...ILLINOIS
AND MISSOURI SNOW MELT COULD POSSIBLY GENERATE ENOUGH RUNOFF TO
CREATE SOME MINOR FLOODING. GENERALLY FOR MOST OF THE NCRFC AREA
THE SNOWPACK WILL CONTINUE TO RIPPEN AND MINOR RUNOFF WILL POND
AND BE HELD BACK FROM RIVERS.

ICE JAMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A SERIOUS THREAT AS RUNOFF BEGINS
AND TEMPERATURES FLUCTUATE AROUND FREEZING.

FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER
FORECASTS...PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC
WEB PAGE AT:     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC


EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST:   RJW   SAS   JDT

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.


$$

...DAM/SAS...
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