Routine Space Environment Product Issued Weekly
Issued by NWS

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FXXX02 KWNP 270656
WEKFOR

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Forecast
:Issued: 2014 Oct 27 0638 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#               27-day Space Weather Forecast
#
Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
27 October - 22 November 2014

Solar activity is likely to continue at high levels (R3-Strong or
greater) from 27-30 October as Region 2192 transits off the visible
disk. Very low to low levels are expected from 31 October through 10
November. By 11 November through the end of the reporting period,
solar activity is expected to increase to moderate (R1-R2,
Minor-Moderate) to high levels once again as Region 2192 returns on
the visible disk.

A chance for a greater than 10 MeV proton event (S1-Minor or
greater) exists from 27-31 October and again from 15-22 November due
to potential significant flare activity from Region 2192.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be at high levels from 27- 29 October and again from
18-22 November due to CH HSS activity.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled
levels with isolated active periods possible on 27-29 October, 04-07
November, 10-11 November, and again from 13-22 November due to
combinations of recurrent southward Bz, solar sector boundary
crossings, and CH HSS. Minor storm periods are possible on 16
November due to the onset of a recurrent positive polarity CH HSS.



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