Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

000
FGUS73 KFGF 141006
ESFFGF
MNZ003-029-NDZ039-053-142215-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
506 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2013

...RAIN TO PRODUCE SLIGHT FLOOD RISK IN THE SOUTHERN VALLEY...

MOISTURE LADEN STORM SYSTEM TO PRODUCE A PROLONGED RAIN EVENT
STARTING TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN VALLEY
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDE SPREAD ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 2.5
INCHES. GIVEN THE RECENT WET PERIOD OF THE LAST MONTH OR SO WHERE
THE AREA HAS RECEIVED 200 TO 300 PERCENT ABOVE NORMAL...4 TO 6
INCHES...SOILS ARE SATURATED AND RUNOFF INTO THE RIVER SYSTEMS
SHOULD OCCUR RATHER EFFICIENTLY. THIS MAY ALLOW ENOUGH RUNOFF FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG THE RED RIVER FROM WAHPETON TO FARGO...THE BUFFALO
RIVER BASIN IN MN AND THE WILD RICE RIVER BASIN IN ND TO SEE RIVER
RISES OVER FLOOD STAGE BY MID WEEK. UNCERTAINTY EXISTS IN EXACTLY
HOW MUCH RAINFALL WILL BE ABSORBED INTO THE SOIL AND HOW MUCH WILL
RUNOFF...GREATLY AFFECTING ANY RISE IN RIVER LEVELS.

$$

JK