Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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MNC005-007-027-029-051-057-069-077-087-089-107-111-113-119-125-135-15
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HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1050 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2014

...SPRING THAW PROGRESS FOR RED RIVER OF THE NORTH...

MILD SPRING WEATHER OVER THE LAST WEEK HELPED ERODE THE REMAINING
SNOWPACK IN THE RED RIVER BASIN. MOST OF THE REMAINING SNOW LIES
WITHIN AND NORTH OF THE SHEYENNE RIVER VALLEY WEST OF THE RED RIVER
VALLEY PROPER...THEN NORTH OF THE NORTH DAKOTA PARK RIVER AND THE
MINNESOTA SNAKE RIVER WITHIN THE RED RIVER VALLEY PROPER...AND THEN
TO THE EAST OF DETROIT LAKES...FERGUS FALLS AND ALEXANDRIA MINNESOTA.
WATER IN THE REMAINING SNOWPACK RANGES MOSTLY FROM ONE TO FOUR INCHES
WITH SOME ISOLATED PATCHES OF SIX.

TODAY`S COLD FRONT WILL BRING COLDER AIR FOR THE WEEKEND WITH
DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE TEENS AND TWENTIES AND NIGHTTIME LOWS IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE AND BELOW ZERO. A SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST THROUGH MANITOBA SUNDAY WITH A WARM FRONT MOVING THROUGH
THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT GIVING A CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW. SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE TWENTIES AND THIRTIES.  THERE WILL BE SOME
LIGHT SNOW CHANCES FROM TIME TO TIME...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT SNOW OR
RAIN IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THIS WILL MAINTAIN OUR CURRENT
GENTLE THAW PROGRESS.

LITTLE OR NO RESPONSE FROM THE RIVER GAGES ON THE MAINSTEM RED AND
THE OTHER MAJOR RIVERS AND STREAMS WITHIN THE BASIN REFLECT THE
NEGLIGIBLE RUNOFF DUE TO LACK OF SNOW MELT WATER IN THE SOUTHERN
BASIN AND THE STILL UN-MELTED SNOW IN THE NORTH...THE SNOW-PLUGGED
DRAINS AND CULVERTS LEADING TO THE RIVERS...AND THE SUBSTANTIAL ICE
COVER YET ON THE RIVERS.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN GRAND FORKS WILL CONTINUE
MONITORING WEATHER AND RIVER CONDITIONS AS THE SPRING THAW
PROGRESSES.

 * FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS...AS WELL AS 7-DAY RIVER FORECASTS
     WILL BE ISSUED WHEN RIVER FORECAST POINTS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH
       OR EXCEED FLOOD STAGE WITHIN THAT FORECAST PERIOD.

THE 7-DAY FORECASTS ARE PRESENTED AS TEXT PRODUCTS OF DAILY RIVER
STAGES AT ESTABLISHED RIVER FORECAST LOCATIONS AND HYDROGRAPHS OF
6 HOUR RIVER STAGES FOR THE PREVIOUS 3 DAYS AND FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
THESE GRAPHS AND TEXT PRODUCTS ARE AVAILABLE FROM THE NWS GRAND FORKS
AHPS WEB PAGE ON THE INTERNET AT:

                  WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS

THEN CLICK ON THE "RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS" TAB ABOVE THE MAP OR THE
LINK IN THE MENU ON THE LEFT SIDE OF THE WEB PAGE.

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS...CONTACT THE NWS AT 701-772-0720.

WE WILL BE UPDATING THE SPRING THAW PROGRESS REPORTS PERIODICALLY
DURING THE NEXT FEW WEEKS AS WE SEE CONDITIONS CHANGING OR UNTIL THE
SNOWPACK MELTS.

$$
TEAM FGF






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