Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 021040 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
540 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

.AVIATION...
NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS AROUND 25 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
SLOWLY DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND BY SUNSET THEY SHOULD BE BELOW 10
KNOTS. THERE MAY BE SOME BRIEF MVFR CIGS AT GUY THIS MORNING ALONG
WITH A SHOT OF LIGHT RAIN. OTHERWISE...THE TAF SITES SHOULD REMAIN
VFR THROUGH THIS FORECAST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 327 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014/

DISCUSSION...TODAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY

THE ONLY ADJUSTMENT OF SIGNIFICANCE TO THE FORECAST WAS TO COOL
TEMPS A BIT FOR TONIGHT, TOMORROW, AND TOMORROW NIGHT. A COLD FRONT
PASSING THROUGH THIS MORNING WILL GIVE US A BREEZY AND BRISK DAY
TODAY AND ANOTHER COOL DAY IS ON TAP TOMORROW. MADE SOME TWEAKS BUT
HAVE GENERALLY RETAINED LOW CHANCES FOR PRECIP FOR THIS MORNING
THROUGH ABOUT NOON TODAY BEHIND THE FRONT...BUT ANY AMOUNTS WILL BE
VERY LIGHT.

THE AIRMASS BEHIND THIS FIRST FRONT AND A REINFORCING FRONT TONIGHT
WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN WE`VE FELT RECENTLY...ABOUT 10-15 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.  HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPS DOWNWARD TO ACCOUNT FOR MODEL
TRENDS AND STRONG CAA. THE TREND MAY NEED TO BE CONTINUED ON
SUBSEQUENT SHIFTS AS THE MET IS ADVERTISING LOWS IN THE MID TO UPR
30S BY SAT MORNING FOR MOST OF THE AREA. THINK FROST WILL BE A
POSSIBILITY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PANHANDLES ON FRI NIGHT.

A WARMING TREND UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL
BEGIN SATURDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH SPECTACULAR EARLY
FALL WEATHER EXPECTED. TEMPS WILL TREND FROM THE 70S ON SATURDAY
TO A BIT ABOVE NORMAL INTO THE 80S BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SIMPSON

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

15/09




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